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Zcash

ZEC
$1,056.7724h -8.25% · 7d +0.62% · 30d +16.90%

Last scan 18h ago

60Confidence+4.1

Moderately bullish (60% confidence)

Why this score

Zcash’s Confidence Score rose to 59.6 out of 100 from 55.5 in the previous scan, driven by improving price momentum that has pushed ZEC 7.9% above its 50-day moving average alongside strong derivatives (80) and tokenomics (84) sub-scores. However, the coin remains in a deep drawdown, trading 91% below its 5-year high. Additionally, actual usage of the blockchain remains low, reflected in a weak network sub-score of 22. The single biggest thing to watch next is whether on-chain network activity can recover from being 13% below its 30-day average to support this price trend.

Bullish
  • MACD above signalHistogram 0.02 — short-term trend is up.
  • Above 50-day averagePrice is 7.9% above the 50-day moving average.
  • Above 200-day averageLong-term trend structure remains intact.
Bearish
  • Network activity fallingOn-chain activity is 13% below its 30-day average.
Risks
  • Deep drawdownTrading 91% below its 5-year high.

Score breakdown

Momentum3205%74
Risk (inverted)1538%59
Network usage1923%22
Developmentn/a
News sentiment1923%58
Social sentimentn/a
Derivatives positioning769%est80
Tokenomics641%84

Categories marked est fall back to free public data (exchange order books, global news tone) when a paid feed is off, and count at 60% weight. Only categories with no usable data at all score n/a, and their weight is spread across the rest.

What changed since the last scan

18h ago

Zcash’s overall confidence score ticked up from 55.5 to 59.6, driven primarily by a dramatic 67.7-point surge in derivatives positioning from 12 to 80. Network usage also recorded a modest increase of 5.2 points (rising from 16 to 22), while news sentiment cooled down by 10.8 points (falling from 69 to 58). No new anomaly flags were raised during this scan. This shift matters because the sharp rise in derivatives metrics indicates a significant realignment in market positioning, serving as the main catalyst behind ZEC's higher score despite weaker news sentiment.

  • • Network usage up 5.2 points (16 → 22)
  • • News sentiment down 10.8 points (69 → 58)
  • • Derivatives positioning up 67.7 points (12 → 80)

AI confidence meter

Leaning bullish59%
Data quality
Fair
Category coverage
75%
Conflicting signals
1
Missing data
Development, Social sentiment
  • • 6 of 8 score categories had data this scan
  • • 3 of 5 data feeds responded
  • • 1 signal contradict the overall read
  • • Score sits close to neutral, so the read is weak by construction

Bull case vs bear case

Both cases built from the same evidence

Bull case

Zcash displays solid technical and market structure metrics, backed by strong sub-scores in tokenomics (84), derivatives (80), and momentum (74). Its price sits 7.9% above the 50-day moving average and remains above the 200-day average, supported by a positive MACD histogram of 0.02 signaling an upward short-term trend.

Bear case

Fundamental adoption remains severely constrained, evidenced by a low network sub-score of 22 as on-chain activity sits 13% below its 30-day average. Additionally, the asset carries a major risk flag due to a deep drawdown, currently trading 91% below its 5-year high.

Balanced read: The evidence currently favors the bull case given the positive trend structure above the 50-day and 200-day moving averages alongside an overall confidence score of 59.6/100. This perspective would flip if weak network metrics worsen and force the price back below its moving averages.

Anomalies detected

All signals →
notableConfidence Score moved +11.5 points in a single scan14d ago

The score went from 54.4 to 65.9. Moves this large in one scan usually mean a category flipped rather than drifted.

notableConfidence Score moved +12.8 points in a single scan24d ago

The score went from 56.8 to 69.6. Moves this large in one scan usually mean a category flipped rather than drifted.

notableExchanges disagree on price by 0.70%25d ago

Spot quotes across major venues normally sit within about 0.1% of each other. A wider gap points to stressed liquidity, an outage, or one venue being pushed by concentrated flow.

notableConfidence Score moved -10.9 points in a single scan26d ago

The score went from 73.5 to 62.6. Moves this large in one scan usually mean a category flipped rather than drifted.

notableConfidence Score moved +9.9 points in a single scan27d ago

The score went from 63.6 to 73.5. Moves this large in one scan usually mean a category flipped rather than drifted.

notableExchanges disagree on price by 0.68%34d ago

Spot quotes across major venues normally sit within about 0.1% of each other. A wider gap points to stressed liquidity, an outage, or one venue being pushed by concentrated flow.

Market mood timeline

Last 45 days · from momentum and volatility
PanicFearNeutralOptimisticEuphoria

Today: Euphoria — Up 125.7% over 30 days; 7% below the running high; Realised volatility 158%

What ZEC is moving with

Full market structure →
Crude oil30d — · 90d — · Not enough overlapping data
Gold30d — · 90d — · Not enough overlapping data
Nvidia (AI proxy)30d — · 90d — · Not enough overlapping data
Silver30d — · 90d — · Not enough overlapping data
Nasdaq 10030d — · 90d — · Not enough overlapping data
S&P 50030d — · 90d — · Not enough overlapping data
US Dollar Index30d — · 90d — · Not enough overlapping data

Price history

Daily closes · Coinbase
Range change -27.9%

Technical indicators

RSI (14)
55.8
Neutral range
MACD hist
—
SMA 50
$27.24
SMA 200
$28.84
Volatility 30d
44.8%
ATR 14
—
Bollinger %B
—
Dist. from ATH
—%
Trend
--

Network & development

Transactions (24h)
1.59M
vs 30d average
—%
Hash rate trend
—%
Avg fee
0.1419
Commits (30d)
—
GitHub
Contributors
—
Stars
—
Circulating supply
16.99M
Supply issued
--
Max 21M

Score over time

Related news

No headlines tied to Zcash yet.

Missing from this report

  • Whale wallet movements — needs Arkham / Nansen / Whale Alert API key
  • Exchange inflows & outflows — needs Glassnode or CryptoQuant API key
  • Order-book depth & spreads — needs Exchange L2 market-data feed
  • ETF & institutional flows — needs Farside / SoSoValue data feed
  • Staking yield & % staked — needs Staking Rewards or beacon-chain API

Research tool, not financial advice. Scores are computed from public data and can be wrong. Nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any asset. AI Bot Arena results are simulated paper trading, not actual investment returns.