Zcash
ZECLast scan 1d ago
Moderately bullish (61% confidence)
Why this score
Zcash’s overall Confidence Score rose slightly to 60.7 out of 100 (up from 59.7), driven by a strong momentum score of 77 as the price sits 41.1% above its 50-day moving average alongside bullish news coverage across 46 recent stories (news score of 68). However, the score remains tempered by high 30-day annualized volatility of 113% and a very weak derivatives sub-score of 10. The single biggest thing to watch next is the RSI reading of 75.1, which indicates overbought conditions that could lead to a short-term slowdown in buying pressure.
- MACD above signalHistogram 4.81 — short-term trend is up.
- Above 50-day averagePrice is 41.1% above the 50-day moving average.
- Above 200-day averageLong-term trend structure remains intact.
- Positive news flowRecent coverage across 46 stories leans bullish.
- Overbought RSIRSI(14) at 75.1 — buying may be stretched.
- Elevated volatility30-day annualised volatility is 113%.
Score breakdown
Categories marked est fall back to free public data (exchange order books, global news tone) when a paid feed is off, and count at 60% weight. Only categories with no usable data at all score n/a, and their weight is spread across the rest.
What changed since the last scan
1d agoSince the previous scan, Zcash’s overall confidence score edged up from 59.7 to 60.7, driven by a 12.5-point gain in network usage (40 to 52) and a minor momentum increase from 74 to 77. Conversely, derivatives positioning saw a steep drop of 27.2 points, falling from 37 down to 10. This matters because it signals strengthening underlying network activity and steady momentum even as leveraged traders significantly pull back their exposure. No new anomaly flags were triggered during this update.
- • Momentum up 3.3 points (74 → 77)
- • Network usage up 12.5 points (40 → 52)
- • Derivatives positioning down 27.2 points (37 → 10)
AI confidence meter
- Data quality
- Fair
- Category coverage
- 75%
- Conflicting signals
- 1
- Missing data
- Development, Social sentiment
- • 6 of 8 score categories had data this scan
- • 3 of 5 data feeds responded
- • 1 signal contradict the overall read
- • Score is 11 points off neutral
Bull case vs bear case
Both cases built from the same evidenceBull case
Zcash demonstrates strong momentum with a sub-score of 77 and a tokenomics rating of 84, supported by its price trading 41.1% above the 50-day moving average and remaining above its 200-day average. This bullish trend structure is further validated by a positive MACD histogram of 4.81 and favorable sentiment across 46 news stories.
Bear case
Risk signals indicate the rally may be overextended, as evidenced by an overbought RSI(14) of 75.1 and high 30-day annualized volatility of 113%. Additionally, the asset shows weakness in market depth and position with a low derivatives sub-score of 10 and a weak risk sub-score of 44.
Balanced read: The evidence currently favors the bull case due to a high momentum score of 77 and price positioning 41.1% above the 50-day moving average. The outlook would flip to bearish if the overbought RSI of 75.1 triggers a sharp sell-off exacerbated by the 113% annualized volatility.
Anomalies detected
All signals →Price closed at $858, above the previous record of $855. There is no overhead supply from trapped buyers above this level.
Reported trading volume is 116% above its 30-day average, but on-chain transactions are only -9% off their own baseline. Volume that does not show up as network settlement is more likely to be exchange churn or wash trading than new money entering.
Spot quotes across major venues normally sit within about 0.1% of each other. A wider gap points to stressed liquidity, an outage, or one venue being pushed by concentrated flow.
The score went from 64.2 to 53.7. Moves this large in one scan usually mean a category flipped rather than drifted.
Spot quotes across major venues normally sit within about 0.1% of each other. A wider gap points to stressed liquidity, an outage, or one venue being pushed by concentrated flow.
Today's traded volume ranks at the 99.5th percentile of the last 2.4 years. Heavy participation usually accompanies a real move rather than drift.
Market mood timeline
Last 45 days · from momentum and volatilityToday: Euphoria — Up 71.4% over 30 days; 3% below the running high; Realised volatility 130%
What ZEC is moving with
Full market structure →Price history
Daily closes · CoinbaseTechnical indicators
Network & development
Score over time
Related news
No headlines tied to Zcash yet.
Missing from this report
- Whale wallet movements — needs Arkham / Nansen / Whale Alert API key
- Exchange inflows & outflows — needs Glassnode or CryptoQuant API key
- Order-book depth & spreads — needs Exchange L2 market-data feed
- ETF & institutional flows — needs Farside / SoSoValue data feed
- Staking yield & % staked — needs Staking Rewards or beacon-chain API