VIX (fear index)

VIX

$82.6924h -1.17% · 7d -9.00% · 30d -17.92%

Last scan 23d ago

35Confidence

Why this score

No explanation generated for this scan.

Bullish

Nothing flagged.

Bearish

MACD below signalHistogram -0.11 — short-term trend is down.
Below 50-day averagePrice is -13.3% below the 50-day moving average.
Below 200-day averageLong-term trend structure is broken.

Risks

Elevated volatility30-day annualised volatility is 91%.
Deep drawdownTrading 78% below its 5-year high.

Score breakdown

Momentum6757%33

Risk (inverted)3243%37

Network usagen/a

Developmentn/a

News sentimentn/a

Social sentimentn/a

Derivatives positioningn/a

Tokenomicsn/a

Categories marked est fall back to free public data (exchange order books, global news tone) when a paid feed is off, and count at 60% weight. Only categories with no usable data at all score n/a, and their weight is spread across the rest.

What changed since the last scan

23d ago

No score category moved more than 2 points.

AI confidence meter

Leaning bearish56%

Data quality: Limited
Category coverage: 25%
Conflicting signals: 0
Missing data: Network usage, Development, News sentiment, Social sentiment, Derivatives positioning, Tokenomics

• 2 of 8 score categories had data this scan
• 2 of 5 data feeds responded
• Signals all point the same way
• Score is 15 points off neutral

Bull case vs bear case

Both cases built from the same evidence

Bull case

Although there are no current bullish signals, the asset's high 30-day annualized volatility of 91% highlights its potential for rapid upside movement during sudden shifts in market sentiment. Furthermore, trading at a deep 78% drawdown from its 5-year high, any unexpected macro disruption could trigger a sharp mean-reversion rebound from these depressed levels.

Bear case

Technical indicators display a broken trend structure with the price sitting 13.3% below its 50-day moving average, below its 200-day moving average, and bearing a negative MACD histogram of -0.11. Weak sub-scores across momentum (33), risk (37), and news (38) reflect persistent headwinds, reinforced by legislative friction as the Senate blocks the Clarity Act.

Balanced read: The evidence currently favors the bear case, driven by a low confidence score of 35.7/100, zero bullish signals, and a price 13.3% below its 50-day moving average. A sustained cross back above the 50-day moving average alongside a positive MACD histogram reading over -0.11 would be required to flip this outlook.

Market mood timeline

Last 45 days · from momentum and volatility

PanicFearNeutralOptimisticEuphoria

Today: Panic — Down 17.9% over 30 days; 78% below the running high; Realised volatility 82%

What VIX is moving with

Full market structure →

Crude oil30d — · 90d — · Not enough overlapping data

Gold30d — · 90d — · Not enough overlapping data

Nvidia (AI proxy)30d — · 90d — · Not enough overlapping data

Silver30d — · 90d — · Not enough overlapping data

Nasdaq 10030d — · 90d — · Not enough overlapping data

S&P 50030d — · 90d — · Not enough overlapping data

US Dollar Index30d — · 90d — · Not enough overlapping data

Price history

Daily closes · Coinbase

Range change +3.4%

Technical indicators

RSI (14)

36.4

Neutral range

MACD hist

—

SMA 50

$21.34

SMA 200

$25.37

Volatility 30d

91%

ATR 14

—

Bollinger %B

—

Dist. from ATH

—%

Trend

Network & development

Network activity

—

vs 30d average

—%

Hash rate trend

—%

Avg fee

—

Commits (30d)

—

GitHub

Contributors

—

Stars

—

Circulating supply

—

Supply issued

No hard cap

Score over time

Related news

No headlines tied to VIX (fear index) yet.

Missing from this report

Whale wallet movements — needs Arkham / Nansen / Whale Alert API key
Exchange inflows & outflows — needs Glassnode or CryptoQuant API key
Order-book depth & spreads — needs Exchange L2 market-data feed
ETF & institutional flows — needs Farside / SoSoValue data feed
Staking yield & % staked — needs Staking Rewards or beacon-chain API