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USD1

USD1
$0.99927224h -0.01% · 7d +0.03% · 30d +0.01%

Last scan 2d ago

59Confidence-5.3

Slightly bullish (59% confidence)

Why this score

USD1’s Confidence Score slipped to 58.7 out of 100, down from 64.0 in the previous scan, largely because a drag in network usage offset strong news sentiment. While long-term trend structures remain intact above the 200-day moving average and news sentiment scored a solid 69 across 33 bullish stories, the network sub-score fell to a low 13 as on-chain activity dropped 18% below its 30-day average. Additionally, the price has edged just below its 50-day moving average, reflecting short-term friction despite positive momentum indicators. The single biggest thing to watch next is whether on-chain network activity can rebound from its 18% drop to provide fundamental support for the asset.

Bullish
  • MACD above signalHistogram 0.00 — short-term trend is up.
  • Above 200-day averageLong-term trend structure remains intact.
  • Positive news flowRecent coverage across 33 stories leans bullish.
Bearish
  • Below 50-day averagePrice is -0.0% below the 50-day moving average.
  • Network activity fallingOn-chain activity is 18% below its 30-day average.
Risks

Nothing flagged.

Score breakdown

Momentum3731%60
Risk (inverted)1791%100
Network usage2239%13
Developmentn/a
News sentiment2239%69
Social sentimentn/a
Derivatives positioningn/a
Tokenomicsn/a

Categories marked est fall back to free public data (exchange order books, global news tone) when a paid feed is off, and count at 60% weight. Only categories with no usable data at all score n/a, and their weight is spread across the rest.

What changed since the last scan

2d ago

Since the previous scan, USD1’s overall confidence score fell from 64.0 to 58.7, driven primarily by a sharp 21.2-point drop in network usage from 34 to 13. This contraction was partially offset by an 11.2-point increase in news sentiment from 58 to 69, while no new anomaly flags were raised. This shift matters because it reveals a clear drop-off in underlying network activity even as media coverage around broader market tokenization trends remains positive.

  • • Network usage down 21.2 points (34 → 13)
  • • News sentiment up 11.2 points (58 → 69)

AI confidence meter

Leaning bullish41%
Data quality
Limited
Category coverage
50%
Conflicting signals
2
Missing data
Development, Social sentiment, Derivatives positioning, Tokenomics
  • • 4 of 8 score categories had data this scan
  • • 3 of 5 data feeds responded
  • • 2 signals contradict the overall read
  • • Score sits close to neutral, so the read is weak by construction

Bull case vs bear case

Both cases built from the same evidence

Bull case

USD1 demonstrates intact long-term technical momentum by holding above its 200-day moving average with a MACD currently above its signal line (histogram 0.00). Sentiment is bolstered by a strong news sub-score of 69 across 33 leaning-bullish stories. Furthermore, the asset retains a maximum risk score of 100 with zero active risk flags or anomalies reported.

Bear case

Network adoption is notably depressed, reflected by a low network sub-score of 13 and on-chain activity falling 18% below its 30-day average. Short-term price momentum faces resistance as USD1 trades -0.0% below its 50-day moving average. Overall confidence is capped at a modest 58.7/100, while key development, social, and derivatives metrics remain untracked.

Balanced read: The evidence currently favours the bullish case, supported by an ideal risk score of 100, price position above the 200-day average, and a momentum score of 60. A shift in short-term momentum alongside further deterioration in the already depressed on-chain activity (currently 18% below its 30-day average) would flip the outlook toward the bear case.

Anomalies detected

All signals →
notableConfidence Score moved +8.0 points in a single scan3d ago

The score went from 56.0 to 64.0. Moves this large in one scan usually mean a category flipped rather than drifted.

extremeVolume in the top 1% of its history6d ago

Today's traded volume ranks at the 99.5th percentile of the last 1.1 years. Heavy participation usually accompanies a real move rather than drift.

extremeVolume in the top 1% of its history10d ago

Today's traded volume ranks at the 99.5th percentile of the last 1.1 years. Heavy participation usually accompanies a real move rather than drift.

notableExchange volume spiking while on-chain activity is flat10d ago

Reported trading volume is 630% above its 30-day average, but on-chain transactions are only -5% off their own baseline. Volume that does not show up as network settlement is more likely to be exchange churn or wash trading than new money entering.

notableConfidence Score moved -9.3 points in a single scan10d ago

The score went from 64.8 to 55.5. Moves this large in one scan usually mean a category flipped rather than drifted.

notableConfidence Score moved +10.5 points in a single scan21d ago

The score went from 61.6 to 72.1. Moves this large in one scan usually mean a category flipped rather than drifted.

Market mood timeline

Last 45 days · from momentum and volatility
PanicFearNeutralOptimisticEuphoria

Today: Optimistic — Up 0.0% over 30 days; At or near the running high; Realised volatility 0%

What USD1 is moving with

Full market structure →
Crude oil30d -0.11 · 90d -0.04 · Moving independently
Gold30d -0.58 · 90d 0.03 · Moderate inverse relationship
Nvidia (AI proxy)30d 0.30 · 90d 0.24 · Weak positive relationship
Silver30d -0.31 · 90d 0.05 · Weak inverse relationship
Nasdaq 10030d 0.09 · 90d 0.26 · Moving independently
S&P 50030d 0.03 · 90d 0.26 · Moving independently
US Dollar Index30d 0.01 · 90d -0.06 · Moving independently

Price history

Daily closes · Coinbase
Range change -0.0%

Technical indicators

RSI (14)
51.5
Neutral range
MACD hist
—
SMA 50
$0.999463
SMA 200
$0.999407
Volatility 30d
0.4%
ATR 14
—
Bollinger %B
—
Dist. from ATH
—%
Trend
--

Network & development

Transactions (24h)
1.55M
vs 30d average
—%
Hash rate trend
—%
Avg fee
0.1349
Commits (30d)
—
GitHub
Contributors
—
Stars
—
Circulating supply
4.04B
Supply issued
--
No hard cap

Score over time

Related news

No headlines tied to USD1 yet.

Missing from this report

  • Whale wallet movements — needs Arkham / Nansen / Whale Alert API key
  • Exchange inflows & outflows — needs Glassnode or CryptoQuant API key
  • Order-book depth & spreads — needs Exchange L2 market-data feed
  • ETF & institutional flows — needs Farside / SoSoValue data feed
  • Staking yield & % staked — needs Staking Rewards or beacon-chain API

Research tool, not financial advice. Scores are computed from public data and can be wrong. Nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any asset. AI Bot Arena results are simulated paper trading, not actual investment returns.