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USDC

USDC
$0.99977824h -0.01% · 7d -0.01% · 30d +0.03%

Last scan 1d ago

67Confidence-10.1

Moderately bullish (67% confidence)

Why this score

USDC’s Confidence Score fell from 76.7 down to 66.6 out of 100, driven primarily by a dip in momentum to a lukewarm 49 as short-term technicals turned softer. While risk and derivatives sub-scores remain at a perfect 100 and news flow stays upbeat with a score of 68 across 46 stories, the overall rating was dragged down by a negative MACD histogram and price remaining below the 200-day moving average. The single biggest thing to watch next is whether price action can reclaim the 200-day moving average to mend its long-term trend structure.

Bullish
  • Above 50-day averagePrice is 0.0% above the 50-day moving average.
  • Positive news flowRecent coverage across 46 stories leans bullish.
Bearish
  • MACD below signalHistogram -0.00 — short-term trend is down.
  • Below 200-day averageLong-term trend structure is broken.
Risks

Nothing flagged.

Score breakdown

Momentum3425%49
Risk (inverted)1644%100
Network usage2055%54
Developmentn/a
News sentiment2055%68
Social sentimentn/a
Derivatives positioning822%est100
Tokenomicsn/a

Categories marked est fall back to free public data (exchange order books, global news tone) when a paid feed is off, and count at 60% weight. Only categories with no usable data at all score n/a, and their weight is spread across the rest.

What changed since the last scan

1d ago

In the latest scan, USDC's Confidence Score dropped by 10.1 points from 76.7 to 66.6, triggering a single-scan anomaly flag. This decline was primarily driven by a sharp retreat in its Momentum category, which fell 19.5 points from 69 down to 49. This sudden loss of momentum matters because it reflects a rapid cooling in short-term performance metrics, pulling the asset's overall system rating down significantly.

  • Momentum down 19.5 points (69 → 49)

AI confidence meter

Leaning bullish44%
Data quality
Fair
Category coverage
63%
Conflicting signals
2
Missing data
Development, Social sentiment, Tokenomics
  • 5 of 8 score categories had data this scan
  • 3 of 5 data feeds responded
  • 2 signals contradict the overall read
  • Score is 17 points off neutral

Bull case vs bear case

Both cases built from the same evidence

Bull case

USDC exhibits strong structural safety with perfect sub-scores of 100 in both risk and derivatives. Media coverage also remains constructive with a news sub-score of 68 across 46 bullish stories, while the asset holds at 0.0% above its 50-day moving average.

Bear case

Technical indicators point to weakening momentum, evidenced by a momentum sub-score of 49 and a MACD histogram of -0.00 reflecting a short-term downtrend. Furthermore, the asset trades below its 200-day moving average with a broken long-term structure, driving a single-scan confidence score drop of -10.1 points down to 66.6.

Balanced read: The evidence currently favors the bear case given the broken long-term trend structure below the 200-day moving average and a rapid -10.1 point drop in the confidence score to 66.6. A push above the 200-day moving average alongside an uptick in the MACD histogram from -0.00 would flip the outlook in favor of the bulls.

Anomalies detected

All signals →
notableConfidence Score moved -10.1 points in a single scan1d ago

The score went from 76.7 to 66.6. Moves this large in one scan usually mean a category flipped rather than drifted.

rareConfidence Score moved +79.1 points in a single scan7d ago

The score went from 0.0 to 79.1. Moves this large in one scan usually mean a category flipped rather than drifted.

Market mood timeline

Last 45 days · from momentum and volatility
PanicFearNeutralOptimisticEuphoria

Today: Optimistic Up 0.0% over 30 days; At or near the running high; Realised volatility 0%

What USDC is moving with

Full market structure →
Bitcoin30d · 90d · Not enough overlapping data
Crude oil30d 0.20 · 90d 0.02 · Weak positive relationship
Gold30d 0.06 · 90d -0.08 · Moving independently
Nvidia (AI proxy)30d -0.13 · 90d -0.32 · Moving independently
Silver30d -0.02 · 90d -0.06 · Moving independently
Nasdaq 10030d -0.27 · 90d -0.40 · Weak inverse relationship
S&P 50030d -0.29 · 90d -0.41 · Weak inverse relationship
US Dollar Index30d -0.10 · 90d 0.07 · Moving independently

Price history

Daily closes · Coinbase
Range change -0.0%

Technical indicators

RSI (14)
51.7
Neutral range
MACD hist
SMA 50
$0.999729
SMA 200
$0.999868
Volatility 30d
0.2%
ATR 14
Bollinger %B
Dist. from ATH
—%
Trend
--

Network & development

Transactions (24h)
1.99M
vs 30d average
—%
Hash rate trend
—%
Avg fee
0.175
Commits (30d)
GitHub
Contributors
Stars
Circulating supply
73.62B
Supply issued
--
No hard cap

Score over time

Related news

No headlines tied to USDC yet.

Missing from this report

  • Whale wallet movements — needs Arkham / Nansen / Whale Alert API key
  • Exchange inflows & outflows — needs Glassnode or CryptoQuant API key
  • Order-book depth & spreads — needs Exchange L2 market-data feed
  • ETF & institutional flows — needs Farside / SoSoValue data feed
  • Staking yield & % staked — needs Staking Rewards or beacon-chain API

Research tool, not financial advice. Scores are computed from public data and can be wrong. Nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any asset. AI Bot Arena results are simulated paper trading, not actual investment returns.