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USDC

USDC
$0.99980924h 0.00% · 7d +0.01% · 30d 0.00%

Last scan 12h ago

61Confidence-4.0

Moderately bullish (61% confidence)

Why this score

USDC's Confidence Score fell to 61.1 out of 100 from 65.1 in the last scan, largely driven by a weak network score of 19 as on-chain activity dropped 14% below its 30-day average. Despite this usage slowdown and a slight dip below its 50-day moving average, USDC maintains maximum risk and derivatives sub-scores of 100, backed by a solid social score of 73. Positive short-term MACD momentum (score of 59) is also keeping the broader long-term trend structure intact above the 200-day average. The single biggest thing to watch next is whether network activity can recover from its 14% deficit to improve overall network usage.

Bullish
  • MACD above signalHistogram 0.00 — short-term trend is up.
  • Above 200-day averageLong-term trend structure remains intact.
Bearish
  • Below 50-day averagePrice is -0.0% below the 50-day moving average.
  • Network activity fallingOn-chain activity is 14% below its 30-day average.
Risks

Nothing flagged.

Score breakdown

Momentum3165%59
Risk (inverted)1519%100
Network usage1899%19
Developmentn/a
News sentiment1899%55
Social sentiment759%est73
Derivatives positioning759%est100
Tokenomicsn/a

Categories marked est fall back to free public data (exchange order books, global news tone) when a paid feed is off, and count at 60% weight. Only categories with no usable data at all score n/a, and their weight is spread across the rest.

What changed since the last scan

12h ago

Since the previous scan, USDC's confidence score dropped from 65.1 to 61.1, largely driven by a 13.9-point decline in news sentiment from 69 to 55. This shift reflects a weaker media backdrop marked by industry headlines on regulatory pushbacks against tokenized stock frameworks and key administrative departures. Despite the decline in sentiment, no new anomaly flags were triggered during this period, indicating the asset's underlying metrics remain stable.

  • • News sentiment down 13.9 points (69 → 55)

AI confidence meter

Leaning bullish45%
Data quality
Fair
Category coverage
75%
Conflicting signals
2
Missing data
Development, Tokenomics
  • • 6 of 8 score categories had data this scan
  • • 3 of 5 data feeds responded
  • • 2 signals contradict the overall read
  • • Score is 11 points off neutral

Bull case vs bear case

Both cases built from the same evidence

Bull case

USDC exhibits top-tier safety and market structure, evidenced by perfect risk and derivatives sub-scores of 100, supported by a healthy social sub-score of 73. Technical indicators reflect positive short-term momentum as the MACD remains above its signal line (Histogram 0.00) while staying above its 200-day moving average.

Bear case

Network engagement shows clear signs of weakness, highlighted by a low network sub-score of 19 and on-chain activity dropping 14% below its 30-day average. Furthermore, price performance remains muted as it sits -0.0% below its 50-day moving average.

Balanced read: The evidence currently favors a mildly bullish outlook due to a 61.1/100 confidence score underpinned by flawless risk and derivatives ratings of 100. A continued decay in network activity below its current 14% drop or a breakdown below the 200-day moving average would flip the bias to bearish.

Anomalies detected

All signals →
notableConfidence Score moved +11.9 points in a single scan7d ago

The score went from 52.3 to 64.2. Moves this large in one scan usually mean a category flipped rather than drifted.

notableConfidence Score moved -15.0 points in a single scan12d ago

The score went from 76.1 to 61.1. Moves this large in one scan usually mean a category flipped rather than drifted.

notableConfidence Score moved +10.0 points in a single scan14d ago

The score went from 60.0 to 70.0. Moves this large in one scan usually mean a category flipped rather than drifted.

notableConfidence Score moved +14.6 points in a single scan21d ago

The score went from 59.5 to 74.1. Moves this large in one scan usually mean a category flipped rather than drifted.

notableConfidence Score moved -8.4 points in a single scan23d ago

The score went from 73.6 to 65.2. Moves this large in one scan usually mean a category flipped rather than drifted.

rareConfidence Score moved +20.3 points in a single scan28d ago

The score went from 55.3 to 75.6. Moves this large in one scan usually mean a category flipped rather than drifted.

Market mood timeline

Last 45 days · from momentum and volatility
PanicFearNeutralOptimisticEuphoria

Today: Optimistic — Up 0.0% over 30 days; At or near the running high; Realised volatility 0%

What USDC is moving with

Full market structure →
Bitcoin30d — · 90d — · Not enough overlapping data
Crude oil30d -0.41 · 90d -0.08 · Moderate inverse relationship
Gold30d -0.27 · 90d 0.19 · Weak inverse relationship
Nvidia (AI proxy)30d 0.33 · 90d -0.16 · Weak positive relationship
Silver30d -0.10 · 90d 0.17 · Moving independently
Nasdaq 10030d 0.34 · 90d -0.33 · Weak positive relationship
S&P 50030d 0.21 · 90d -0.28 · Weak positive relationship
US Dollar Index30d -0.05 · 90d -0.20 · Moving independently

Price history

Daily closes · Coinbase
Range change -0.0%

Technical indicators

RSI (14)
45
Neutral range
MACD hist
—
SMA 50
$0.999835
SMA 200
$0.999807
Volatility 30d
0.2%
ATR 14
—
Bollinger %B
—
Dist. from ATH
—%
Trend
--

Network & development

Transactions (24h)
1.56M
vs 30d average
—%
Hash rate trend
—%
Avg fee
0.1216
Commits (30d)
—
GitHub
Contributors
—
Stars
—
Circulating supply
72.49B
Supply issued
--
No hard cap

Score over time

Related news

No headlines tied to USDC yet.

Missing from this report

  • Whale wallet movements — needs Arkham / Nansen / Whale Alert API key
  • Exchange inflows & outflows — needs Glassnode or CryptoQuant API key
  • Order-book depth & spreads — needs Exchange L2 market-data feed
  • ETF & institutional flows — needs Farside / SoSoValue data feed
  • Staking yield & % staked — needs Staking Rewards or beacon-chain API

Research tool, not financial advice. Scores are computed from public data and can be wrong. Nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any asset. AI Bot Arena results are simulated paper trading, not actual investment returns.