US 10Y Treasury yield
US10YLast scan 27d ago
Moderately bullish (66% confidence)
Why this score
As this is the first recorded scan for the US 10Y Treasury yield, an initial Confidence Score of 66.0 out of 100 has been established, heavily supported by a very low-risk profile score of 88. Momentum stands at a solid 62—backed by a positive MACD histogram of 0.04 and a price holding above its 200-day moving average—while news sentiment remains neutral with a sub-score of 55. However, there is mild short-term resistance as the yield sits just 0.2% below its 50-day moving average. The single biggest thing to watch next is whether the yield can break back above its 50-day moving average to align its short-term trend with its stronger long-term structure.
- MACD above signalHistogram 0.04 — short-term trend is up.
- Above 200-day averageLong-term trend structure remains intact.
- Below 50-day averagePrice is -0.2% below the 50-day moving average.
Nothing flagged.
Score breakdown
Categories marked est fall back to free public data (exchange order books, global news tone) when a paid feed is off, and count at 60% weight. Only categories with no usable data at all score n/a, and their weight is spread across the rest.
What changed since the last scan
27d agoFirst recorded scan for this coin — there is no previous snapshot to compare against yet.
No score category moved more than 2 points.
AI confidence meter
- Data quality
- Limited
- Category coverage
- 38%
- Conflicting signals
- 1
- Missing data
- Network usage, Development, Social sentiment, Derivatives positioning, Tokenomics
- • 3 of 8 score categories had data this scan
- • 2 of 5 data feeds responded
- • 1 signal contradict the overall read
- • Score is 16 points off neutral
Bull case vs bear case
Both cases built from the same evidenceBull case
The US 10Y Treasury yield maintains its long-term trend structure by remaining above its 200-day moving average, supported by a strong risk sub-score of 88 and an overall confidence score of 66.0/100. Short-term upward momentum is also present, with the MACD positioned above its signal line and displaying a histogram of 0.04.
Bear case
Despite long-term strength, the yield is currently trading -0.2% below its 50-day moving average, indicating intermediate overhead resistance. Additionally, sub-scores show limited enthusiasm, with momentum at 62 and news sentiment at a modest 55.
Balanced read: The evidence currently favors the bull case given the intact structure above the 200-day average, a positive MACD histogram of 0.04, and a high risk sub-score of 88. A breakdown below the 200-day average or sustained weakness past the -0.2% gap under the 50-day average would flip the outlook toward the bears.
Market mood timeline
Last 45 days · from momentum and volatilityToday: Optimistic — Up 0.5% over 30 days; 10% below the running high; Realised volatility 39%
What US10Y is moving with
Full market structure →Price history
Daily closes · CoinbaseTechnical indicators
Network & development
Score over time
Score history builds up as scans run. Come back after a few scans to see the trend.
Related news
No headlines tied to US 10Y Treasury yield yet.
Missing from this report
- Whale wallet movements — needs Arkham / Nansen / Whale Alert API key
- Exchange inflows & outflows — needs Glassnode or CryptoQuant API key
- Order-book depth & spreads — needs Exchange L2 market-data feed
- ETF & institutional flows — needs Farside / SoSoValue data feed
- Staking yield & % staked — needs Staking Rewards or beacon-chain API