Gram (prev. Toncoin)
GRAMLast scan 3d ago
Moderately bearish (60% confidence)
Why this score
Gram’s Confidence Score slipped from 43.5 to 40.3 out of 100, primarily reflecting ongoing technical weakness, a low development sub-score of 20, and zero points in tokenomics. The coin's short-term momentum remains weak at a 40 sub-score, with its price sitting 4.8% below the 50-day moving average, below its key 200-day average, and stuck in a deep 58% drawdown from its five-year high. While news sentiment offers a minor bright spot at 59/100, zero bullish signals were detected to help reverse the current downward trajectory. The single biggest thing to watch next is whether Gram can reclaim its 50-day moving average to stabilize its short-term trend.
Nothing flagged.
- MACD below signalHistogram -0.02 — short-term trend is down.
- Below 50-day averagePrice is -4.8% below the 50-day moving average.
- Below 200-day averageLong-term trend structure is broken.
- Deep drawdownTrading 58% below its 5-year high.
Score breakdown
Categories marked est fall back to free public data (exchange order books, global news tone) when a paid feed is off, and count at 60% weight. Only categories with no usable data at all score n/a, and their weight is spread across the rest.
What changed since the last scan
3d agoGram’s (GRAM) confidence score edged down from 43.5 to 40.3, primarily driven by a steep 33.5-point drop in Momentum from 73 to 40 alongside a 6.8-point decline in inverted Risk from 64 to 58. Conversely, fundamental categories showed notable strength, with Network usage rising 18.5 points (14 to 33), Development gaining 11.0 points (9 to 20), and News sentiment increasing 19.6 points (40 to 59). This matters because the severe loss in price momentum overrides solid improvements in underlying network activity and developer engagement, pulling down the overall score despite zero new anomaly flags.
- • Momentum down 33.5 points (73 → 40)
- • Risk (inverted) down 6.8 points (64 → 58)
- • Network usage up 18.5 points (14 → 33)
- • Development up 11.0 points (9 → 20)
- • News sentiment up 19.6 points (40 → 59)
AI confidence meter
- Data quality
- Fair
- Category coverage
- 75%
- Conflicting signals
- 0
- Missing data
- Social sentiment, Derivatives positioning
- • 6 of 8 score categories had data this scan
- • 4 of 5 data feeds responded
- • Signals all point the same way
- • Score sits close to neutral, so the read is weak by construction
Bull case vs bear case
Both cases built from the same evidenceBull case
While Gram currently lacks explicit bullish signals, it retains a relative bright spot in its news sub-score of 59 and a risk sub-score of 58. Its momentum sub-score of 40 provides a potential base for stabilization if broader sector sentiment improves.
Bear case
Bearish momentum is severe, marked by a MACD histogram of -0.02, price trading 4.8% below its 50-day moving average, and a broken 200-day moving average trend structure. Weak fundamentals compound this technical weakness, evidenced by a development sub-score of 20, a tokenomics sub-score of 0, and a severe 58% drawdown from its 5-year high.
Balanced read: The evidence currently favors the bear case due to comprehensive technical breakdowns and a low overall confidence score of 40.3/100. A flip to a bullish posture would require the price to reclaim its 50-day and 200-day moving averages alongside positive MACD histogram momentum.
Anomalies detected
All signals →Moves this size have happened on roughly 1.5% of days in the last 1.1 years. Large single-day moves often mark either the start or the exhaustion of a trend.
Reported trading volume is 258% above its 30-day average, but on-chain transactions are only -17% off their own baseline. Volume that does not show up as network settlement is more likely to be exchange churn or wash trading than new money entering.
The score went from 41.0 to 50.0. Moves this large in one scan usually mean a category flipped rather than drifted.
The score went from 0.0 to 54.7. Moves this large in one scan usually mean a category flipped rather than drifted.
Market mood timeline
Last 45 days · from momentum and volatilityToday: Neutral — Up 2.7% over 30 days; 58% below the running high; Realised volatility 78%
What GRAM is moving with
Full market structure →Price history
Daily closes · CoinbaseTechnical indicators
Network & development
Score over time
Related news
No headlines tied to Gram (prev. Toncoin) yet.
Missing from this report
- Whale wallet movements — needs Arkham / Nansen / Whale Alert API key
- Exchange inflows & outflows — needs Glassnode or CryptoQuant API key
- Order-book depth & spreads — needs Exchange L2 market-data feed
- ETF & institutional flows — needs Farside / SoSoValue data feed
- Staking yield & % staked — needs Staking Rewards or beacon-chain API