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Tether

USDT
$0.99942124h +0.04% · 7d +0.05% · 30d -0.02%

Last scan 2h ago

60Confidence+0.5

Moderately bullish (60% confidence)

Why this score

Tether’s Confidence Score rose slightly to 60.4 out of 100 (up from 59.9), driven by a positive short-term MACD momentum signal alongside maximum sub-scores of 100 in both risk and derivatives metrics. Despite this minor bump, the overall score remains anchored by a low network sub-score of 26, as the price continues to trade below its 200-day moving average. This weak network performance is primarily caused by on-chain activity dropping 11% below its 30-day average. The single biggest thing to watch next is whether on-chain network activity can rebound from its current 11% decline to support broader usage.

Bullish
  • MACD above signalHistogram 0.00 — short-term trend is up.
Bearish
  • Below 50-day averagePrice is -0.0% below the 50-day moving average.
  • Below 200-day averageLong-term trend structure is broken.
  • Network activity fallingOn-chain activity is 11% below its 30-day average.
Risks

Nothing flagged.

Score breakdown

Momentum3205%51
Risk (inverted)1538%100
Network usage1923%26
Developmentn/a
News sentiment1923%62
Social sentimentn/a
Derivatives positioning769%est100
Tokenomics641%63

Categories marked est fall back to free public data (exchange order books, global news tone) when a paid feed is off, and count at 60% weight. Only categories with no usable data at all score n/a, and their weight is spread across the rest.

What changed since the last scan

2h ago

Tether’s confidence score remained largely steady, nudging up slightly from 59.9 to 60.4 since the last scan with no new anomaly flags reported. This minor rise was driven by network usage increasing 2.3 points from 24 to 26, which offset a 3.8-point drop in news sentiment from 66 to 62 amidst regulatory headlines such as France advancing stablecoin tax proposals. These small, opposing shifts matter because they show underlying network activity holding firm even as media sentiment experienced a modest decline.

  • • Network usage up 2.3 points (24 → 26)
  • • News sentiment down 3.8 points (66 → 62)

AI confidence meter

Leaning bullish59%
Data quality
Fair
Category coverage
75%
Conflicting signals
1
Missing data
Development, Social sentiment
  • • 6 of 8 score categories had data this scan
  • • 3 of 5 data feeds responded
  • • 1 signal contradict the overall read
  • • Score is 10 points off neutral

Bull case vs bear case

Both cases built from the same evidence

Bull case

USDT displays exceptional stability metrics, highlighted by perfect risk (100) and derivatives (100) sub-scores along with a solid news sub-score of 62. Short-term momentum is positive with the MACD positioned above its signal line and a histogram of 0.00. Additionally, industry expansion—such as BingX and YouHodler entering the ESMA MiCA register—underpins continued institutional stablecoin adoption.

Bear case

Network metrics present a major vulnerability, with the network sub-score lagging at 26 as on-chain activity sits 11% below its 30-day average. Technical indicators reflect a broken long-term trend structure, with price trading below both its 50-day (-0.0%) and 200-day moving averages. These underlying weaknesses limit the overall confidence score to a mediocre 60.4/100.

Balanced read: The evidence currently favors a cautious bull case due to flawless risk (100) and derivatives (100) scores paired with an intact short-term MACD trend. A deeper contraction in on-chain network activity below its current 11% deficit or tightening regulatory burdens—such as France's proposed stablecoin tax—would flip the bias toward the bear case.

Anomalies detected

All signals →
notableConfidence Score moved -10.6 points in a single scan22d ago

The score went from 65.0 to 54.4. Moves this large in one scan usually mean a category flipped rather than drifted.

notableConfidence Score moved -8.9 points in a single scan37d ago

The score went from 69.0 to 60.1. Moves this large in one scan usually mean a category flipped rather than drifted.

Market mood timeline

Last 45 days · from momentum and volatility
PanicFearNeutralOptimisticEuphoria

Today: Optimistic — Down 0.0% over 30 days; At or near the running high; Realised volatility 1%

What USDT is moving with

Full market structure →
Crude oil30d — · 90d — · Not enough overlapping data
Gold30d — · 90d — · Not enough overlapping data
Nvidia (AI proxy)30d — · 90d — · Not enough overlapping data
Silver30d — · 90d — · Not enough overlapping data
Nasdaq 10030d — · 90d — · Not enough overlapping data
S&P 50030d — · 90d — · Not enough overlapping data
US Dollar Index30d — · 90d — · Not enough overlapping data

Price history

Daily closes · Coinbase
Range change -0.0%

Technical indicators

RSI (14)
59.4
Neutral range
MACD hist
—
SMA 50
$0.999924
SMA 200
$0.999971
Volatility 30d
0.7%
ATR 14
—
Bollinger %B
—
Dist. from ATH
—%
Trend
--

Network & development

Transactions (24h)
1.63M
vs 30d average
—%
Hash rate trend
—%
Avg fee
0.1357
Commits (30d)
—
GitHub
Contributors
—
Stars
—
Circulating supply
183.67B
Supply issued
--
No hard cap

Score over time

Related news

No headlines tied to Tether yet.

Missing from this report

  • Whale wallet movements — needs Arkham / Nansen / Whale Alert API key
  • Exchange inflows & outflows — needs Glassnode or CryptoQuant API key
  • Order-book depth & spreads — needs Exchange L2 market-data feed
  • ETF & institutional flows — needs Farside / SoSoValue data feed
  • Staking yield & % staked — needs Staking Rewards or beacon-chain API

Research tool, not financial advice. Scores are computed from public data and can be wrong. Nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any asset. AI Bot Arena results are simulated paper trading, not actual investment returns.