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Tether

USDT
$0.99963324h -0.01% · 7d +0.05% · 30d -0.02%

Last scan 14h ago

62Confidence-4.3

Moderately bullish (62% confidence)

Why this score

Tether's Confidence Score dropped to 61.6 out of 100 (down from 65.9 in the previous scan), primarily driven by weak network activity and broken long-term technical trends despite maintaining maximum sub-scores in risk (100) and derivatives (100). Although short-term momentum (51) shows a slight bump from a positive MACD signal, the overall metric is dragged down by a low network score of 34 and price trading below both its 50-day and 200-day moving averages. The single biggest thing to watch next is whether Tether can reclaim its 50-day moving average to help rebuild its long-term trend structure.

Bullish
  • MACD above signalHistogram 0.00 — short-term trend is up.
Bearish
  • Below 50-day averagePrice is -0.0% below the 50-day moving average.
  • Below 200-day averageLong-term trend structure is broken.
Risks

Nothing flagged.

Score breakdown

Momentum3205%51
Risk (inverted)1538%100
Network usage1923%34
Developmentn/a
News sentiment1923%60
Social sentimentn/a
Derivatives positioning769%est100
Tokenomics641%63

Categories marked est fall back to free public data (exchange order books, global news tone) when a paid feed is off, and count at 60% weight. Only categories with no usable data at all score n/a, and their weight is spread across the rest.

What changed since the last scan

14h ago

Tether’s confidence score fell from 65.9 to 61.6, driven primarily by a steep 19.1-point drop in news sentiment (79 to 60) alongside a minor 3.7-point decline in network usage (38 to 34). The negative shift in sentiment stems from legal headwinds following headlines that a lawsuit is challenging Tether over an alleged $42.4 million USDT account freeze prior to a U.S. warrant. Despite the contraction in both sentiment and network activity, no new anomaly flags were raised during this scan. This change matters because it highlights how emerging legal scrutiny can rapidly suppress overall confidence metrics even while network activity experiences only a mild pullback.

  • Network usage down 3.7 points (38 → 34)
  • News sentiment down 19.1 points (79 → 60)

AI confidence meter

Leaning bullish55%
Data quality
Fair
Category coverage
75%
Conflicting signals
1
Missing data
Development, Social sentiment
  • 6 of 8 score categories had data this scan
  • 3 of 5 data feeds responded
  • 1 signal contradict the overall read
  • Score is 12 points off neutral

Bull case vs bear case

Both cases built from the same evidence

Bull case

Tether demonstrates strong operational stability backed by maximum sub-scores of 100 in both risk and derivatives, contributing to an overall confidence score of 61.6/100. Short-term momentum is positive with the MACD positioned above its signal line and a histogram of 0.00. Solid sub-scores in tokenomics (63) and news (60) further support its near-term outlook.

Bear case

Tether's long-term trend structure is broken as the asset sits below its 200-day average and -0.0% below its 50-day moving average. Fundamental performance is constrained by a weak network sub-score of 34 and legal headwinds from a lawsuit over allegedly freezing $42.4 million USDT. Broader macroeconomic strains, including oil surging above $93 following U.S. strikes on Iran, present additional market pressures.

Balanced read: The evidence currently favors the bull case owing to top-tier risk and derivatives sub-scores of 100 elevating the overall score to 61.6/100. A worsening of the lawsuit concerning the $42.4 million USDT or sustained macro headwinds dragging down technical trends would flip the balance toward the bear case.

Market mood timeline

Last 45 days · from momentum and volatility
PanicFearNeutralOptimisticEuphoria

Today: Optimistic Down 0.0% over 30 days; At or near the running high; Realised volatility 1%

What USDT is moving with

Full market structure →
Crude oil30d · 90d · Not enough overlapping data
Gold30d · 90d · Not enough overlapping data
Nvidia (AI proxy)30d · 90d · Not enough overlapping data
Silver30d · 90d · Not enough overlapping data
Nasdaq 10030d · 90d · Not enough overlapping data
S&P 50030d · 90d · Not enough overlapping data
US Dollar Index30d · 90d · Not enough overlapping data

Price history

Daily closes · Coinbase
Range change -0.0%

Technical indicators

RSI (14)
59.4
Neutral range
MACD hist
SMA 50
$0.999924
SMA 200
$0.999971
Volatility 30d
0.7%
ATR 14
Bollinger %B
Dist. from ATH
—%
Trend
--

Network & development

Transactions (24h)
1.96M
vs 30d average
—%
Hash rate trend
—%
Avg fee
0.1606
Commits (30d)
GitHub
Contributors
Stars
Circulating supply
183.38B
Supply issued
--
No hard cap

Score over time

Related news

No headlines tied to Tether yet.

Missing from this report

  • Whale wallet movements — needs Arkham / Nansen / Whale Alert API key
  • Exchange inflows & outflows — needs Glassnode or CryptoQuant API key
  • Order-book depth & spreads — needs Exchange L2 market-data feed
  • ETF & institutional flows — needs Farside / SoSoValue data feed
  • Staking yield & % staked — needs Staking Rewards or beacon-chain API

Research tool, not financial advice. Scores are computed from public data and can be wrong. Nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any asset. AI Bot Arena results are simulated paper trading, not actual investment returns.