Sui
SUILast scan 17h ago
Neutral (50% confidence)
Why this score
Sui’s Confidence Score slipped from 54.5 to 50.3 out of 100, primarily pulled lower by a weak network sub-score of 16 as on-chain activity dropped 16% below its 30-day average alongside negative short-term momentum (MACD histogram at -0.03). Offsetting some of this downward pressure is maximum development activity (scoring 100/100 with 25 code releases in the last 90 days) and an oversold RSI of 28.0, though severe tokenomics risks (1/100 score with only 41% of supply in circulation) continue to weigh on the overall metric. The single biggest thing to watch next is whether on-chain network activity recovers enough to help the price reclaim its 50-day moving average.
- Oversold RSIRSI(14) at 28.0 — historically a mean-reversion zone.
- Above 200-day averageLong-term trend structure remains intact.
- Shipping regularly25 tagged releases in the last 90 days.
- MACD below signalHistogram -0.03 — short-term trend is down.
- Below 50-day averagePrice is -0.2% below the 50-day moving average.
- Network activity fallingOn-chain activity is 16% below its 30-day average.
- Elevated volatility30-day annualised volatility is 119%.
- Deep drawdownTrading 82% below its 5-year high.
- Future dilutionOnly 41% of maximum supply is in circulation.
Score breakdown
Categories marked est fall back to free public data (exchange order books, global news tone) when a paid feed is off, and count at 60% weight. Only categories with no usable data at all score n/a, and their weight is spread across the rest.
What changed since the last scan
17h agoSui's overall confidence score fell from 54.5 to 50.3, driven primarily by sharp drops in on-chain activity and leverage positioning. Network usage suffered the largest decline, dropping 17.5 points from 33 to 16, while derivatives positioning contracted 15.7 points from 90 to 75. Smaller drops were also logged in momentum, which fell 4.1 points to 62, and inverted risk, which slipped 3.8 points to 24. This widespread weakening across categories indicates cooling user engagement and reduced market conviction, softening the asset's overall profile despite no new anomaly flags being triggered.
- • Momentum down 4.1 points (66 → 62)
- • Risk (inverted) down 3.8 points (28 → 24)
- • Network usage down 17.5 points (33 → 16)
- • Derivatives positioning down 15.7 points (90 → 75)
AI confidence meter
- Data quality
- Fair
- Category coverage
- 100%
- Conflicting signals
- 3
- Missing data
- None
- • 8 of 8 score categories had data this scan
- • 3 of 5 data feeds responded
- • 3 signals contradict the overall read
- • Score sits close to neutral, so the read is weak by construction
Bull case vs bear case
Both cases built from the same evidenceBull case
Sui demonstrates strong technical development with a perfect development sub-score of 100 and 25 tagged releases shipped in the last 90 days. Additionally, its long-term trend structure remains intact above the 200-day moving average, while an oversold RSI(14) of 28.0 signals potential for a mean-reversion bounce.
Bear case
Tokenomics represent a major headwind with a score of 1, as only 41% of the maximum supply is circulating, exposing holders to heavy future dilution. On-chain network activity has dropped 16% below its 30-day average, while the asset suffers from a deep 82% drawdown from its 5-year high and 119% annualized volatility.
Balanced read: The evidence currently favors the bear case given the dismal tokenomics sub-score of 1, falling network activity, and short-term weakness indicated by a MACD histogram of -0.03. A reclaim of the 50-day moving average paired with a rebound in on-chain network activity above its 30-day average would flip the outlook toward the bulls.
Anomalies detected
All signals →The score went from 40.8 to 54.5. Moves this large in one scan usually mean a category flipped rather than drifted.
The score went from 57.2 to 40.8. Moves this large in one scan usually mean a category flipped rather than drifted.
Today's traded volume ranks at the 99.1th percentile of the last 2.5 years. Heavy participation usually accompanies a real move rather than drift.
Today's traded volume ranks at the 99.9th percentile of the last 2.4 years. Heavy participation usually accompanies a real move rather than drift.
Moves this size have happened on roughly 0.7% of days in the last 2.4 years. Large single-day moves often mark either the start or the exhaustion of a trend.
Today's traded volume ranks at the 99.4th percentile of the last 2.4 years. Heavy participation usually accompanies a real move rather than drift.
Market mood timeline
Last 45 days · from momentum and volatilityToday: Optimistic — Up 27.5% over 30 days; 82% below the running high; Realised volatility 87%
What SUI is moving with
Full market structure →Price history
Daily closes · CoinbaseTechnical indicators
Network & development
Score over time
Related news
No headlines tied to Sui yet.
Missing from this report
- Whale wallet movements — needs Arkham / Nansen / Whale Alert API key
- Exchange inflows & outflows — needs Glassnode or CryptoQuant API key
- Order-book depth & spreads — needs Exchange L2 market-data feed
- ETF & institutional flows — needs Farside / SoSoValue data feed
- Staking yield & % staked — needs Staking Rewards or beacon-chain API