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S&P 500

SPX
$4,796.5624h -0.40% · 7d -1.40% · 30d -3.10%

Last scan 27d ago

56Confidence

Slightly bullish (56% confidence)

Why this score

As this is the first recorded scan for the S&P 500 (SPX), it establishes a baseline Confidence Score of 55.7 out of 100. The score is anchored by a high risk sub-score of 93, but it is weighed down by a weak momentum sub-score of 38 and a moderate news sub-score of 55. This technical drag comes from zero bullish signals, a negative MACD histogram reading of -9.88, and a price that sits 2.0% below its 50-day moving average while remaining below its 200-day moving average. The single biggest thing to watch next is whether SPX can reclaim its 50-day moving average to signal a recovery in its short-term trend.

Bullish

Nothing flagged.

Bearish
  • MACD below signalHistogram -9.88 — short-term trend is down.
  • Below 50-day averagePrice is -2.0% below the 50-day moving average.
  • Below 200-day averageLong-term trend structure is broken.
Risks

Nothing flagged.

Score breakdown

Momentum4808%38
Risk (inverted)2308%93
Network usagen/a
Developmentn/a
News sentiment2885%55
Social sentimentn/a
Derivatives positioningn/a
Tokenomicsn/a

Categories marked est fall back to free public data (exchange order books, global news tone) when a paid feed is off, and count at 60% weight. Only categories with no usable data at all score n/a, and their weight is spread across the rest.

What changed since the last scan

27d ago

First recorded scan for this coin — there is no previous snapshot to compare against yet.

No score category moved more than 2 points.

AI confidence meter

Neutral55%
Data quality
Limited
Category coverage
38%
Conflicting signals
0
Missing data
Network usage, Development, Social sentiment, Derivatives positioning, Tokenomics
  • 3 of 8 score categories had data this scan
  • 2 of 5 data feeds responded
  • Signals all point the same way
  • Score sits close to neutral, so the read is weak by construction

Bull case vs bear case

Both cases built from the same evidence

Bull case

Despite short-term technical weakness, the asset maintains a strong risk sub-score of 93 out of 100 alongside an overall confidence score of 55.7. The news sub-score also holds a neutral-to-positive baseline at 55, offering fundamental stability while price indicators reset.

Bear case

Technical momentum is severely depressed with a sub-score of 38, reinforced by a bearish MACD histogram of -9.88. The long-term trend structure is broken as price sits 2.0% below the 50-day moving average and below the 200-day moving average, with zero bullish signals reported.

Balanced read: The current evidence favours the bear case, driven by a broken 200-day trend structure, negative MACD histogram of -9.88, and a total absence of bullish signals. Reclaiming the 50-day moving average and reversing the momentum sub-score above 38 would be needed to flip the narrative.

Market mood timeline

Last 45 days · from momentum and volatility
PanicFearNeutralOptimisticEuphoria

Today: Neutral Down 3.1% over 30 days; 20% below the running high; Realised volatility 22%

What SPX is moving with

Full market structure →
Crude oil30d · 90d · Not enough overlapping data
Gold30d · 90d · Not enough overlapping data
Nvidia (AI proxy)30d · 90d · Not enough overlapping data
Silver30d · 90d · Not enough overlapping data
Nasdaq 10030d · 90d · Not enough overlapping data
S&P 50030d · 90d · Not enough overlapping data
US Dollar Index30d · 90d · Not enough overlapping data

Price history

Daily closes · Coinbase
Range change -13.3%

Technical indicators

RSI (14)
34.1
Neutral range
MACD hist
SMA 50
$3,901.43
SMA 200
$4,005.44
Volatility 30d
22.8%
ATR 14
Bollinger %B
Dist. from ATH
—%
Trend
--

Network & development

Network activity
vs 30d average
—%
Hash rate trend
—%
Avg fee
Commits (30d)
GitHub
Contributors
Stars
Circulating supply
Supply issued
--
No hard cap

Score over time

Score history builds up as scans run. Come back after a few scans to see the trend.

Related news

No headlines tied to S&P 500 yet.

Missing from this report

  • Whale wallet movements — needs Arkham / Nansen / Whale Alert API key
  • Exchange inflows & outflows — needs Glassnode or CryptoQuant API key
  • Order-book depth & spreads — needs Exchange L2 market-data feed
  • ETF & institutional flows — needs Farside / SoSoValue data feed
  • Staking yield & % staked — needs Staking Rewards or beacon-chain API

Research tool, not financial advice. Scores are computed from public data and can be wrong. Nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any asset. AI Bot Arena results are simulated paper trading, not actual investment returns.