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Shiba Inu

SHIB
$0.00000524h -1.97% · 7d -9.47% · 30d -8.97%

Last scan 1d ago

48Confidence-3.2

Slightly bearish (52% confidence)

Why this score

Shiba Inu’s Confidence Score slipped from 51.5 down to 48.3 out of 100, primarily driven by weakening price momentum (sub-score of 40) and on-chain network activity falling 16% below its 30-day average. Although positive news coverage (sub-score of 69) and an extremely low RSI of 19.9 offer potential relief, SHIB remains in a deep 71% drawdown from its 5-year high and sits 8.5% below its 50-day moving average. Meanwhile, a very low network sub-score of 17 highlights that actual blockchain usage is failing to match the upbeat media headlines. The single biggest thing to watch next is whether the oversold RSI sparks a mean-reversion bounce or if persistent drops in network activity push the score even lower.

Bullish
  • Oversold RSIRSI(14) at 19.9 — historically a mean-reversion zone.
  • Positive news flowRecent coverage across 34 stories leans bullish.
Bearish
  • MACD below signalHistogram -0.00 — short-term trend is down.
  • Below 50-day averagePrice is -8.5% below the 50-day moving average.
  • Below 200-day averageLong-term trend structure is broken.
  • Network activity fallingOn-chain activity is 16% below its 30-day average.
Risks
  • Deep drawdownTrading 71% below its 5-year high.

Score breakdown

Momentum2976%40
Risk (inverted)1429%59
Network usage1786%17
Developmentn/a
News sentiment1786%69
Social sentiment714%est48
Derivatives positioning714%est46
Tokenomics595%99

Categories marked est fall back to free public data (exchange order books, global news tone) when a paid feed is off, and count at 60% weight. Only categories with no usable data at all score n/a, and their weight is spread across the rest.

What changed since the last scan

1d ago

Shiba Inu's confidence score dropped from 51.5 to 48.3, primarily driven by sharp declines in derivatives positioning (down 46.8 points from 93 to 46) and network usage (down 25.2 points from 42 to 17). This steep contraction in activity is further reflected by a new anomaly flag marking SHIB's trading volume in the bottom 1% of its historical record. These metrics matter because reduced network usage and unwinding derivatives positions signal a notable cooldown in active market participation, even as news sentiment rose 24.7 points from 44 to 69.

  • • Network usage down 25.2 points (42 → 17)
  • • News sentiment up 24.7 points (44 → 69)
  • • Derivatives positioning down 46.8 points (93 → 46)

AI confidence meter

Neutral54%
Data quality
Fair
Category coverage
88%
Conflicting signals
2
Missing data
Development
  • • 7 of 8 score categories had data this scan
  • • 3 of 5 data feeds responded
  • • 2 signals contradict the overall read
  • • Score sits close to neutral, so the read is weak by construction

Bull case vs bear case

Both cases built from the same evidence

Bull case

Shiba Inu shows potential for a mean-reversion bounce driven by an oversold RSI(14) of 19.9 and an exceptionally high tokenomics sub-score of 99. Furthermore, news sentiment leans positive with a news sub-score of 69 supported by 34 bullish coverage stories.

Bear case

The asset's technical and network metrics are weak, burdened by a low network sub-score of 17 and on-chain activity falling 16% below its 30-day average. SHIB remains in a deep drawdown 71% below its 5-year high, trading -8.5% under its 50-day average with volume sitting in the bottom 1% of its history.

Balanced read: The evidence currently favors the bear case due to broken trend structures, weak network metrics, and a below-average confidence score of 48.3/100. A sustained surge in volume out of its bottom 1% historical anomaly and a cross back above the 50-day moving average (-8.5% deficit) would be needed to flip the narrative.

Anomalies detected

All signals →
extremeVolume in the bottom 1% of its history1d ago

Today's traded volume ranks at the 0.0th percentile of the last 1.7 years. Thin participation means prices move on very little conviction.

rareVolume in the bottom 1% of its history10d ago

Today's traded volume ranks at the 1.0th percentile of the last 1.7 years. Thin participation means prices move on very little conviction.

notableConfidence Score moved -9.9 points in a single scan10d ago

The score went from 66.0 to 56.1. Moves this large in one scan usually mean a category flipped rather than drifted.

notableExchange volume spiking while on-chain activity is flat26d ago

Reported trading volume is 67% above its 30-day average, but on-chain transactions are only -3% off their own baseline. Volume that does not show up as network settlement is more likely to be exchange churn or wash trading than new money entering.

notableConfidence Score moved -10.5 points in a single scan26d ago

The score went from 69.0 to 58.5. Moves this large in one scan usually mean a category flipped rather than drifted.

notableConfidence Score moved -8.0 points in a single scan30d ago

The score went from 63.6 to 55.6. Moves this large in one scan usually mean a category flipped rather than drifted.

Market mood timeline

Last 45 days · from momentum and volatility
PanicFearNeutralOptimisticEuphoria

Today: Fear — Down 9.0% over 30 days; 71% below the running high; Realised volatility 48%

What SHIB is moving with

Full market structure →
Crude oil30d -0.40 · 90d -0.29 · Moderate inverse relationship
Gold30d 0.38 · 90d 0.39 · Weak positive relationship
Nvidia (AI proxy)30d 0.37 · 90d 0.12 · Weak positive relationship
Silver30d 0.46 · 90d 0.39 · Moderate positive relationship
Nasdaq 10030d 0.66 · 90d 0.33 · Moderate positive relationship
S&P 50030d 0.63 · 90d 0.37 · Moderate positive relationship
US Dollar Index30d -0.28 · 90d -0.30 · Weak inverse relationship

Price history

Daily closes · Coinbase
Range change -50.6%

Technical indicators

RSI (14)
19.9
Oversold territory
MACD hist
—
SMA 50
$0.000005
SMA 200
$0.000005
Volatility 30d
61.9%
ATR 14
—
Bollinger %B
—
Dist. from ATH
—%
Trend
--

Network & development

Transactions (24h)
1.59M
vs 30d average
—%
Hash rate trend
—%
Avg fee
0.144
Commits (30d)
—
GitHub
Contributors
—
Stars
—
Circulating supply
589.24T
Supply issued
--
No hard cap

Score over time

Related news

No headlines tied to Shiba Inu yet.

Missing from this report

  • Whale wallet movements — needs Arkham / Nansen / Whale Alert API key
  • Exchange inflows & outflows — needs Glassnode or CryptoQuant API key
  • Order-book depth & spreads — needs Exchange L2 market-data feed
  • ETF & institutional flows — needs Farside / SoSoValue data feed
  • Staking yield & % staked — needs Staking Rewards or beacon-chain API

Research tool, not financial advice. Scores are computed from public data and can be wrong. Nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any asset. AI Bot Arena results are simulated paper trading, not actual investment returns.