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Russell 2000

RUT
$2,442.7424h +1.25% · 7d +1.05% · 30d -4.17%

Last scan 22h ago

57Confidence-2.3

Slightly bullish (57% confidence)

Why this score

The Confidence Score for the Russell 2000 (RUT) dropped to 56.5 out of 100 from 58.8 in the previous scan, driven by a weak momentum score of 38 and a complete absence of bullish signals. This decline reflects mounting technical pressure, as the asset's price has fallen 2.2% below its 50-day moving average, broke below its 200-day average, and displays a negative MACD histogram of -0.21. While a high risk sub-score of 90 offers a cushion alongside a modest news score of 59, short-term chart signals remain firmly downward. The single biggest thing to watch next is whether the price can reclaim its 50-day moving average to stabilize its momentum.

Bullish

Nothing flagged.

Bearish
  • MACD below signalHistogram -0.21 — short-term trend is down.
  • Below 50-day averagePrice is -2.2% below the 50-day moving average.
  • Below 200-day averageLong-term trend structure is broken.
Risks

Nothing flagged.

Score breakdown

Momentum4808%38
Risk (inverted)2308%90
Network usagen/a
Developmentn/a
News sentiment2885%59
Social sentimentn/a
Derivatives positioningn/a
Tokenomicsn/a

Categories marked est fall back to free public data (exchange order books, global news tone) when a paid feed is off, and count at 60% weight. Only categories with no usable data at all score n/a, and their weight is spread across the rest.

What changed since the last scan

22h ago

Since the last scan, the confidence score for Russell 2000 (RUT) dropped slightly from 58.8 to 56.5, driven primarily by an 8.1-point decline in news sentiment from 67 to 59. No new anomaly flags were detected during this update. This shift matters because it reflects a mild softening in market perception, influenced by headlines highlighting security vulnerabilities—such as $1.18 billion lost to Q3 hacks—and ongoing regulatory discussions around stablecoins. Overall, the data indicates a modest cooling of sentiment rather than a dramatic shift in the asset's baseline profile.

  • • News sentiment down 8.1 points (67 → 59)

AI confidence meter

Leaning bullish55%
Data quality
Limited
Category coverage
38%
Conflicting signals
0
Missing data
Network usage, Development, Social sentiment, Derivatives positioning, Tokenomics
  • • 3 of 8 score categories had data this scan
  • • 2 of 5 data feeds responded
  • • Signals all point the same way
  • • Score sits close to neutral, so the read is weak by construction

Bull case vs bear case

Both cases built from the same evidence

Bull case

Despite the absence of explicit technical bullish signals, Russell 2000 maintains a solid risk score of 90 and a news sentiment score of 59. These metrics contribute to an overall confidence score of 56.5/100, suggesting relative structural stability amidst market uncertainty.

Bear case

Technical indicators reflect significant weakness, with momentum sitting at a low 38 and the price trailing 2.2% below its 50-day moving average. Furthermore, the broken 200-day moving average and a negative MACD histogram reading of -0.21 confirm that both short-term and long-term trends remain down.

Balanced read: The current evidence favours the bear case due to broken trend structures across key moving averages and a weak momentum score of 38. A sustained push back above the 50-day and 200-day moving averages alongside positive MACD momentum would be required to flip the bias.

Market mood timeline

Last 45 days · from momentum and volatility
PanicFearNeutralOptimisticEuphoria

Today: Neutral — Down 4.2% over 30 days; 27% below the running high; Realised volatility 26%

What RUT is moving with

Full market structure →
Crude oil30d — · 90d — · Not enough overlapping data
Gold30d — · 90d — · Not enough overlapping data
Nvidia (AI proxy)30d — · 90d — · Not enough overlapping data
Silver30d — · 90d — · Not enough overlapping data
Nasdaq 10030d — · 90d — · Not enough overlapping data
S&P 50030d — · 90d — · Not enough overlapping data
US Dollar Index30d — · 90d — · Not enough overlapping data

Price history

Daily closes · Coinbase
Range change -20.0%

Technical indicators

RSI (14)
39.4
Neutral range
MACD hist
—
SMA 50
$1,812.75
SMA 200
$1,838.99
Volatility 30d
25.8%
ATR 14
—
Bollinger %B
—
Dist. from ATH
—%
Trend
--

Network & development

Network activity
—
vs 30d average
—%
Hash rate trend
—%
Avg fee
—
Commits (30d)
—
GitHub
Contributors
—
Stars
—
Circulating supply
—
Supply issued
--
No hard cap

Score over time

Related news

No headlines tied to Russell 2000 yet.

Missing from this report

  • Whale wallet movements — needs Arkham / Nansen / Whale Alert API key
  • Exchange inflows & outflows — needs Glassnode or CryptoQuant API key
  • Order-book depth & spreads — needs Exchange L2 market-data feed
  • ETF & institutional flows — needs Farside / SoSoValue data feed
  • Staking yield & % staked — needs Staking Rewards or beacon-chain API

Research tool, not financial advice. Scores are computed from public data and can be wrong. Nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any asset. AI Bot Arena results are simulated paper trading, not actual investment returns.