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Rain

RAIN
$0.00894224h -7.45% · 7d -13.44% · 30d -30.64%

Last scan 3d ago

36Confidence-0.5

Moderately bearish (64% confidence)

Why this score

Rain’s Confidence Score slipped slightly from 36.4 to 35.9 out of 100, weighted down by particularly weak tokenomics (18) and risk (27) sub-scores. The technical picture remains heavily bearish with zero positive signals, as the token sits 33.2% below its 50-day moving average, trades 51% off its 5-year high, and experiences intense 110% annualized volatility. Furthermore, a negative MACD histogram confirms that the short-term trend is still sloping downward alongside a broken long-term structure. The single biggest thing to watch next is whether the token can reclaim its 50-day moving average to halt its ongoing downtrend.

Bullish

Nothing flagged.

Bearish
  • MACD below signalHistogram -0.00 — short-term trend is down.
  • Below 50-day averagePrice is -33.2% below the 50-day moving average.
  • Below 200-day averageLong-term trend structure is broken.
Risks
  • Elevated volatility30-day annualised volatility is 110%.
  • Deep drawdownTrading 51% below its 5-year high.

Score breakdown

Momentum3472%30
Risk (inverted)1667%27
Network usage2083%35
Developmentn/a
News sentiment2083%59
Social sentimentn/a
Derivatives positioningn/a
Tokenomics694%18

Categories marked est fall back to free public data (exchange order books, global news tone) when a paid feed is off, and count at 60% weight. Only categories with no usable data at all score n/a, and their weight is spread across the rest.

What changed since the last scan

3d ago

Since the previous scan, Rain’s (RAIN) confidence score slightly decreased from 36.4 to 35.9. This minor shift was driven by a 3.0-point drop in Momentum (falling from 33 to 30), which was largely balanced by a 2.9-point improvement in the inverted Risk category (rising from 24 to 27). No new anomaly flags were raised during this period. Overall, these small opposing moves reflect a slightly cooling momentum offset by a marginally safer risk profile, keeping RAIN's general outlook largely steady.

  • • Momentum down 3.0 points (33 → 30)
  • • Risk (inverted) up 2.9 points (24 → 27)

AI confidence meter

Leaning bearish72%
Data quality
Fair
Category coverage
63%
Conflicting signals
0
Missing data
Development, Social sentiment, Derivatives positioning
  • • 5 of 8 score categories had data this scan
  • • 3 of 5 data feeds responded
  • • Signals all point the same way
  • • Score is 14 points off neutral

Bull case vs bear case

Both cases built from the same evidence

Bull case

Despite a low overall confidence score of 35.9/100 and zero bullish signals, RAIN displays moderate relative strength in its news sub-score of 59. Furthermore, its network sub-score of 35 provides a modest foundational baseline amidst broader market weakness.

Bear case

RAIN exhibits severe macro and technical distress, trading 33.2% below its 50-day moving average with its long-term trend structure broken below the 200-day average. Risk factors are heavily compounded by a 110% 30-day annualized volatility, a 51% drawdown from its 5-year high, and a weak tokenomics sub-score of 18.

Balanced read: The current evidence strongly favors the bear case given the broken technical structure, low momentum sub-score of 30, and total absence of bullish signals. A sustained price recovery above its 50-day moving average alongside significant improvement in its 18 tokenomics score would be necessary to flip the outlook.

Anomalies detected

All signals →
notableConfidence Score moved -8.4 points in a single scan29d ago

The score went from 51.3 to 42.9. Moves this large in one scan usually mean a category flipped rather than drifted.

notableConfidence Score moved -8.5 points in a single scan37d ago

The score went from 61.1 to 52.6. Moves this large in one scan usually mean a category flipped rather than drifted.

notableConfidence Score moved +10.8 points in a single scan53d ago

The score went from 51.7 to 62.5. Moves this large in one scan usually mean a category flipped rather than drifted.

Market mood timeline

Last 45 days · from momentum and volatility
PanicFearNeutralOptimisticEuphoria

Today: Panic — Down 30.6% over 30 days; 51% below the running high; Realised volatility 122%

What RAIN is moving with

Full market structure →
Bitcoin30d — · 90d — · Not enough overlapping data
Crude oil30d -0.26 · 90d -0.12 · Weak inverse relationship
Gold30d -0.38 · 90d -0.06 · Weak inverse relationship
Nvidia (AI proxy)30d 0.21 · 90d -0.05 · Weak positive relationship
Silver30d -0.34 · 90d -0.12 · Weak inverse relationship
Nasdaq 10030d -0.03 · 90d -0.08 · Moving independently
S&P 50030d -0.11 · 90d -0.10 · Moving independently
US Dollar Index30d 0.16 · 90d 0.12 · Moving independently

Price history

Daily closes · Coinbase
Range change +147.0%

Technical indicators

RSI (14)
39.9
Neutral range
MACD hist
—
SMA 50
$0.013392
SMA 200
$0.012108
Volatility 30d
109.9%
ATR 14
—
Bollinger %B
—
Dist. from ATH
—%
Trend
--

Network & development

Transactions (24h)
1.77M
vs 30d average
—%
Hash rate trend
—%
Avg fee
0.1627
Commits (30d)
—
GitHub
Contributors
—
Stars
—
Circulating supply
709.25B
Supply issued
--
Max 1.15T

Score over time

Related news

No headlines tied to Rain yet.

Missing from this report

  • Whale wallet movements — needs Arkham / Nansen / Whale Alert API key
  • Exchange inflows & outflows — needs Glassnode or CryptoQuant API key
  • Order-book depth & spreads — needs Exchange L2 market-data feed
  • ETF & institutional flows — needs Farside / SoSoValue data feed
  • Staking yield & % staked — needs Staking Rewards or beacon-chain API

Research tool, not financial advice. Scores are computed from public data and can be wrong. Nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any asset. AI Bot Arena results are simulated paper trading, not actual investment returns.