Rain
RAINLast scan 14h ago
Moderately bullish (58% confidence)
Why this score
Rain’s overall Confidence Score slipped from 62.1 to 57.5 out of 100 as weak network activity (34) and poor tokenomics (18) dragged down an otherwise strong momentum sub-score of 80. While technical indicators show the short-term trend is still up—with the price sitting 19.5% above its 50-day moving average and holding above its 200-day average—risk remains high due to an elevated 30-day annualized volatility of 90%. The single biggest thing to watch next is whether the price can maintain its position above that key 50-day moving average to keep its broader trend structure intact.
- MACD above signalHistogram 0.00 — short-term trend is up.
- Above 50-day averagePrice is 19.5% above the 50-day moving average.
- Above 200-day averageLong-term trend structure remains intact.
Nothing flagged.
- Elevated volatility30-day annualised volatility is 90%.
Score breakdown
Categories marked est fall back to free public data (exchange order books, global news tone) when a paid feed is off, and count at 60% weight. Only categories with no usable data at all score n/a, and their weight is spread across the rest.
What changed since the last scan
14h agoSince the previous scan, Rain's overall confidence score decreased from 62.1 to 57.5, driven primarily by a sharp 19.1-point drop in news sentiment from 79 to 60. Network usage also edged lower, falling 3.8 points from 38 to 34, though no new anomaly flags were triggered. This dual contraction matters because it reflects cooling near-term interest and reduced on-chain activity, against a background of broader macro headlines involving geopolitical conflicts and bond selloffs. Together, these specific metric declines point to weakening momentum for the token without signaling immediate structural volatility.
- • Network usage down 3.8 points (38 → 34)
- • News sentiment down 19.1 points (79 → 60)
AI confidence meter
- Data quality
- Fair
- Category coverage
- 63%
- Conflicting signals
- 0
- Missing data
- Development, Social sentiment, Derivatives positioning
- • 5 of 8 score categories had data this scan
- • 3 of 5 data feeds responded
- • Signals all point the same way
- • Score sits close to neutral, so the read is weak by construction
Bull case vs bear case
Both cases built from the same evidenceBull case
Rain exhibits robust technical strength backed by a high momentum score of 80/100 and an overall confidence score of 57.5/100. Its price sits 19.5% above the 50-day moving average, remains above its 200-day moving average, and displays an intact short-term trend with MACD above its signal line.
Bear case
Fundamental vulnerabilities loom large, highlighted by an extremely weak tokenomics score of 18/100 and a low network score of 34/100. Additionally, the asset carries a risk score of 54/100 due to elevated 30-day annualised volatility reaching 90%.
Balanced read: Current evidence leans marginally in favour of the bulls, driven by strong price momentum 19.5% above the 50-day moving average and an absence of direct bearish technical signals. A shift in trend below key moving averages or worsening network metrics past the low 34 score would flip the bias to the bears.
Anomalies detected
All signals →The score went from 51.7 to 62.5. Moves this large in one scan usually mean a category flipped rather than drifted.
Market mood timeline
Last 45 days · from momentum and volatilityToday: Euphoria — Up 31.0% over 30 days; 7% below the running high; Realised volatility 107%
What RAIN is moving with
Full market structure →Price history
Daily closes · CoinbaseTechnical indicators
Network & development
Score over time
Related news
No headlines tied to Rain yet.
Missing from this report
- Whale wallet movements — needs Arkham / Nansen / Whale Alert API key
- Exchange inflows & outflows — needs Glassnode or CryptoQuant API key
- Order-book depth & spreads — needs Exchange L2 market-data feed
- ETF & institutional flows — needs Farside / SoSoValue data feed
- Staking yield & % staked — needs Staking Rewards or beacon-chain API