Rain
RAINLast scan 3d ago
Moderately bearish (64% confidence)
Why this score
Rain’s Confidence Score slipped slightly from 36.4 to 35.9 out of 100, weighted down by particularly weak tokenomics (18) and risk (27) sub-scores. The technical picture remains heavily bearish with zero positive signals, as the token sits 33.2% below its 50-day moving average, trades 51% off its 5-year high, and experiences intense 110% annualized volatility. Furthermore, a negative MACD histogram confirms that the short-term trend is still sloping downward alongside a broken long-term structure. The single biggest thing to watch next is whether the token can reclaim its 50-day moving average to halt its ongoing downtrend.
Nothing flagged.
- MACD below signalHistogram -0.00 — short-term trend is down.
- Below 50-day averagePrice is -33.2% below the 50-day moving average.
- Below 200-day averageLong-term trend structure is broken.
- Elevated volatility30-day annualised volatility is 110%.
- Deep drawdownTrading 51% below its 5-year high.
Score breakdown
Categories marked est fall back to free public data (exchange order books, global news tone) when a paid feed is off, and count at 60% weight. Only categories with no usable data at all score n/a, and their weight is spread across the rest.
What changed since the last scan
3d agoSince the previous scan, Rain’s (RAIN) confidence score slightly decreased from 36.4 to 35.9. This minor shift was driven by a 3.0-point drop in Momentum (falling from 33 to 30), which was largely balanced by a 2.9-point improvement in the inverted Risk category (rising from 24 to 27). No new anomaly flags were raised during this period. Overall, these small opposing moves reflect a slightly cooling momentum offset by a marginally safer risk profile, keeping RAIN's general outlook largely steady.
- • Momentum down 3.0 points (33 → 30)
- • Risk (inverted) up 2.9 points (24 → 27)
AI confidence meter
- Data quality
- Fair
- Category coverage
- 63%
- Conflicting signals
- 0
- Missing data
- Development, Social sentiment, Derivatives positioning
- • 5 of 8 score categories had data this scan
- • 3 of 5 data feeds responded
- • Signals all point the same way
- • Score is 14 points off neutral
Bull case vs bear case
Both cases built from the same evidenceBull case
Despite a low overall confidence score of 35.9/100 and zero bullish signals, RAIN displays moderate relative strength in its news sub-score of 59. Furthermore, its network sub-score of 35 provides a modest foundational baseline amidst broader market weakness.
Bear case
RAIN exhibits severe macro and technical distress, trading 33.2% below its 50-day moving average with its long-term trend structure broken below the 200-day average. Risk factors are heavily compounded by a 110% 30-day annualized volatility, a 51% drawdown from its 5-year high, and a weak tokenomics sub-score of 18.
Balanced read: The current evidence strongly favors the bear case given the broken technical structure, low momentum sub-score of 30, and total absence of bullish signals. A sustained price recovery above its 50-day moving average alongside significant improvement in its 18 tokenomics score would be necessary to flip the outlook.
Anomalies detected
All signals →The score went from 51.3 to 42.9. Moves this large in one scan usually mean a category flipped rather than drifted.
The score went from 61.1 to 52.6. Moves this large in one scan usually mean a category flipped rather than drifted.
The score went from 51.7 to 62.5. Moves this large in one scan usually mean a category flipped rather than drifted.
Market mood timeline
Last 45 days · from momentum and volatilityToday: Panic — Down 30.6% over 30 days; 51% below the running high; Realised volatility 122%
What RAIN is moving with
Full market structure →Price history
Daily closes · CoinbaseTechnical indicators
Network & development
Score over time
Related news
No headlines tied to Rain yet.
Missing from this report
- Whale wallet movements — needs Arkham / Nansen / Whale Alert API key
- Exchange inflows & outflows — needs Glassnode or CryptoQuant API key
- Order-book depth & spreads — needs Exchange L2 market-data feed
- ETF & institutional flows — needs Farside / SoSoValue data feed
- Staking yield & % staked — needs Staking Rewards or beacon-chain API