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Rain

RAIN
$0.01689524h +1.41% · 7d -6.89% · 30d +31.02%

Last scan 14h ago

58Confidence-4.6

Moderately bullish (58% confidence)

Why this score

Rain’s overall Confidence Score slipped from 62.1 to 57.5 out of 100 as weak network activity (34) and poor tokenomics (18) dragged down an otherwise strong momentum sub-score of 80. While technical indicators show the short-term trend is still up—with the price sitting 19.5% above its 50-day moving average and holding above its 200-day average—risk remains high due to an elevated 30-day annualized volatility of 90%. The single biggest thing to watch next is whether the price can maintain its position above that key 50-day moving average to keep its broader trend structure intact.

Bullish
  • MACD above signalHistogram 0.00 — short-term trend is up.
  • Above 50-day averagePrice is 19.5% above the 50-day moving average.
  • Above 200-day averageLong-term trend structure remains intact.
Bearish

Nothing flagged.

Risks
  • Elevated volatility30-day annualised volatility is 90%.

Score breakdown

Momentum3472%80
Risk (inverted)1667%54
Network usage2083%34
Developmentn/a
News sentiment2083%60
Social sentimentn/a
Derivatives positioningn/a
Tokenomics694%18

Categories marked est fall back to free public data (exchange order books, global news tone) when a paid feed is off, and count at 60% weight. Only categories with no usable data at all score n/a, and their weight is spread across the rest.

What changed since the last scan

14h ago

Since the previous scan, Rain's overall confidence score decreased from 62.1 to 57.5, driven primarily by a sharp 19.1-point drop in news sentiment from 79 to 60. Network usage also edged lower, falling 3.8 points from 38 to 34, though no new anomaly flags were triggered. This dual contraction matters because it reflects cooling near-term interest and reduced on-chain activity, against a background of broader macro headlines involving geopolitical conflicts and bond selloffs. Together, these specific metric declines point to weakening momentum for the token without signaling immediate structural volatility.

  • Network usage down 3.8 points (38 → 34)
  • News sentiment down 19.1 points (79 → 60)

AI confidence meter

Leaning bullish68%
Data quality
Fair
Category coverage
63%
Conflicting signals
0
Missing data
Development, Social sentiment, Derivatives positioning
  • 5 of 8 score categories had data this scan
  • 3 of 5 data feeds responded
  • Signals all point the same way
  • Score sits close to neutral, so the read is weak by construction

Bull case vs bear case

Both cases built from the same evidence

Bull case

Rain exhibits robust technical strength backed by a high momentum score of 80/100 and an overall confidence score of 57.5/100. Its price sits 19.5% above the 50-day moving average, remains above its 200-day moving average, and displays an intact short-term trend with MACD above its signal line.

Bear case

Fundamental vulnerabilities loom large, highlighted by an extremely weak tokenomics score of 18/100 and a low network score of 34/100. Additionally, the asset carries a risk score of 54/100 due to elevated 30-day annualised volatility reaching 90%.

Balanced read: Current evidence leans marginally in favour of the bulls, driven by strong price momentum 19.5% above the 50-day moving average and an absence of direct bearish technical signals. A shift in trend below key moving averages or worsening network metrics past the low 34 score would flip the bias to the bears.

Anomalies detected

All signals →
notableConfidence Score moved +10.8 points in a single scan7d ago

The score went from 51.7 to 62.5. Moves this large in one scan usually mean a category flipped rather than drifted.

Market mood timeline

Last 45 days · from momentum and volatility
PanicFearNeutralOptimisticEuphoria

Today: Euphoria Up 31.0% over 30 days; 7% below the running high; Realised volatility 107%

What RAIN is moving with

Full market structure →
Crude oil30d -0.02 · 90d -0.16 · Moving independently
Gold30d 0.02 · 90d 0.03 · Moving independently
Nvidia (AI proxy)30d -0.16 · 90d -0.12 · Moving independently
Silver30d 0.06 · 90d -0.02 · Moving independently
Nasdaq 10030d -0.06 · 90d -0.01 · Moving independently
S&P 50030d -0.14 · 90d -0.00 · Moving independently
US Dollar Index30d 0.12 · 90d 0.00 · Moving independently

Price history

Daily closes · Coinbase
Range change +495.9%

Technical indicators

RSI (14)
69.4
Neutral range
MACD hist
SMA 50
$0.014152
SMA 200
$0.01123
Volatility 30d
90.5%
ATR 14
Bollinger %B
Dist. from ATH
—%
Trend
--

Network & development

Transactions (24h)
1.96M
vs 30d average
—%
Hash rate trend
—%
Avg fee
0.1607
Commits (30d)
GitHub
Contributors
Stars
Circulating supply
709.2B
Supply issued
--
Max 1.15T

Score over time

Related news

No headlines tied to Rain yet.

Missing from this report

  • Whale wallet movements — needs Arkham / Nansen / Whale Alert API key
  • Exchange inflows & outflows — needs Glassnode or CryptoQuant API key
  • Order-book depth & spreads — needs Exchange L2 market-data feed
  • ETF & institutional flows — needs Farside / SoSoValue data feed
  • Staking yield & % staked — needs Staking Rewards or beacon-chain API

Research tool, not financial advice. Scores are computed from public data and can be wrong. Nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any asset. AI Bot Arena results are simulated paper trading, not actual investment returns.