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Nasdaq 100

NDX
$16,573.3424h -0.70% · 7d -3.32% · 30d -6.97%

Last scan 4d ago

52Confidence-3.5

Neutral (52% confidence)

Why this score

The Nasdaq 100’s Confidence Score dropped to 51.7 out of 100 (down from 55.2 in the previous scan) primarily due to a breakdown in key price trend structures and a muted news score of 43. Weak momentum (scored at 41) is evident as the price has fallen 4.7% below its 50-day moving average, breached its 200-day average, and generated a bearish MACD histogram of -51.63. On a positive note, a strong risk sub-score of 86 and a low RSI reading of 29.2 indicate the index is deeply oversold, a condition that historically points to potential mean-reversion. The single biggest thing to watch next is whether the oversold RSI triggers a technical rebound or if the index remains pinned below its long-term 200-day moving average.

Bullish
  • Oversold RSIRSI(14) at 29.2 — historically a mean-reversion zone.
Bearish
  • MACD below signalHistogram -51.63 — short-term trend is down.
  • Below 50-day averagePrice is -4.7% below the 50-day moving average.
  • Below 200-day averageLong-term trend structure is broken.
Risks

Nothing flagged.

Score breakdown

Momentum4808%41
Risk (inverted)2308%86
Network usagen/a
Developmentn/a
News sentiment2885%43
Social sentimentn/a
Derivatives positioningn/a
Tokenomicsn/a

Categories marked est fall back to free public data (exchange order books, global news tone) when a paid feed is off, and count at 60% weight. Only categories with no usable data at all score n/a, and their weight is spread across the rest.

What changed since the last scan

4d ago

Since the previous scan, the Nasdaq 100 (NDX) confidence score declined slightly from 55.2 to 51.7. Underlying dashboard metrics remained relatively quiet, with no individual category shifting by more than 2 points and no new anomaly flags generated. This modest tick downward reflects a subtle cooling in sentiment—coinciding with broader market headlines pointing to a worsening AI selloff—rather than any sudden operational or structural disruption.

No score category moved more than 2 points.

AI confidence meter

Neutral37%
Data quality
Limited
Category coverage
38%
Conflicting signals
1
Missing data
Network usage, Development, Social sentiment, Derivatives positioning, Tokenomics
  • • 3 of 8 score categories had data this scan
  • • 2 of 5 data feeds responded
  • • 1 signal contradict the overall read
  • • Score sits close to neutral, so the read is weak by construction

Bull case vs bear case

Both cases built from the same evidence

Bull case

The strongest bullish factor for the Nasdaq 100 is its oversold RSI(14) of 29.2, which historically represents a key mean-reversion zone. Furthermore, the asset retains an exceptionally high risk sub-score of 86, highlighting relative structural stability despite broader market pressures.

Bear case

Technical indicators present severe weakness, highlighted by a MACD histogram of -51.63 and a low momentum sub-score of 41 amidst a worsening AI selloff. Additionally, the price sitting -4.7% below its 50-day moving average and beneath its 200-day average breaks the long-term trend structure.

Balanced read: The evidence currently favors the bear case due to the broken long-term trend structure and negative momentum, despite a neutral confidence score of 51.7/100. A sustained move back above the 50-day moving average and a positive MACD crossover would flip the outlook toward the bulls.

Market mood timeline

Last 45 days · from momentum and volatility
PanicFearNeutralOptimisticEuphoria

Today: Neutral — Down 7.0% over 30 days; 34% below the running high; Realised volatility 28%

What NDX is moving with

Full market structure →
Crude oil30d — · 90d — · Not enough overlapping data
Gold30d — · 90d — · Not enough overlapping data
Nvidia (AI proxy)30d — · 90d — · Not enough overlapping data
Silver30d — · 90d — · Not enough overlapping data
Nasdaq 10030d — · 90d — · Not enough overlapping data
S&P 50030d — · 90d — · Not enough overlapping data
US Dollar Index30d — · 90d — · Not enough overlapping data

Price history

Daily closes · Coinbase
Range change -28.1%

Technical indicators

RSI (14)
29.2
Oversold territory
MACD hist
—
SMA 50
$11,402.21
SMA 200
$12,275.85
Volatility 30d
30.2%
ATR 14
—
Bollinger %B
—
Dist. from ATH
—%
Trend
--

Network & development

Network activity
—
vs 30d average
—%
Hash rate trend
—%
Avg fee
—
Commits (30d)
—
GitHub
Contributors
—
Stars
—
Circulating supply
—
Supply issued
--
No hard cap

Score over time

Related news

No headlines tied to Nasdaq 100 yet.

Missing from this report

  • Whale wallet movements — needs Arkham / Nansen / Whale Alert API key
  • Exchange inflows & outflows — needs Glassnode or CryptoQuant API key
  • Order-book depth & spreads — needs Exchange L2 market-data feed
  • ETF & institutional flows — needs Farside / SoSoValue data feed
  • Staking yield & % staked — needs Staking Rewards or beacon-chain API

Research tool, not financial advice. Scores are computed from public data and can be wrong. Nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any asset. AI Bot Arena results are simulated paper trading, not actual investment returns.