Nasdaq 100
NDXLast scan 4d ago
Neutral (52% confidence)
Why this score
The Nasdaq 100’s Confidence Score dropped to 51.7 out of 100 (down from 55.2 in the previous scan) primarily due to a breakdown in key price trend structures and a muted news score of 43. Weak momentum (scored at 41) is evident as the price has fallen 4.7% below its 50-day moving average, breached its 200-day average, and generated a bearish MACD histogram of -51.63. On a positive note, a strong risk sub-score of 86 and a low RSI reading of 29.2 indicate the index is deeply oversold, a condition that historically points to potential mean-reversion. The single biggest thing to watch next is whether the oversold RSI triggers a technical rebound or if the index remains pinned below its long-term 200-day moving average.
- Oversold RSIRSI(14) at 29.2 — historically a mean-reversion zone.
- MACD below signalHistogram -51.63 — short-term trend is down.
- Below 50-day averagePrice is -4.7% below the 50-day moving average.
- Below 200-day averageLong-term trend structure is broken.
Nothing flagged.
Score breakdown
Categories marked est fall back to free public data (exchange order books, global news tone) when a paid feed is off, and count at 60% weight. Only categories with no usable data at all score n/a, and their weight is spread across the rest.
What changed since the last scan
4d agoSince the previous scan, the Nasdaq 100 (NDX) confidence score declined slightly from 55.2 to 51.7. Underlying dashboard metrics remained relatively quiet, with no individual category shifting by more than 2 points and no new anomaly flags generated. This modest tick downward reflects a subtle cooling in sentiment—coinciding with broader market headlines pointing to a worsening AI selloff—rather than any sudden operational or structural disruption.
No score category moved more than 2 points.
AI confidence meter
- Data quality
- Limited
- Category coverage
- 38%
- Conflicting signals
- 1
- Missing data
- Network usage, Development, Social sentiment, Derivatives positioning, Tokenomics
- • 3 of 8 score categories had data this scan
- • 2 of 5 data feeds responded
- • 1 signal contradict the overall read
- • Score sits close to neutral, so the read is weak by construction
Bull case vs bear case
Both cases built from the same evidenceBull case
The strongest bullish factor for the Nasdaq 100 is its oversold RSI(14) of 29.2, which historically represents a key mean-reversion zone. Furthermore, the asset retains an exceptionally high risk sub-score of 86, highlighting relative structural stability despite broader market pressures.
Bear case
Technical indicators present severe weakness, highlighted by a MACD histogram of -51.63 and a low momentum sub-score of 41 amidst a worsening AI selloff. Additionally, the price sitting -4.7% below its 50-day moving average and beneath its 200-day average breaks the long-term trend structure.
Balanced read: The evidence currently favors the bear case due to the broken long-term trend structure and negative momentum, despite a neutral confidence score of 51.7/100. A sustained move back above the 50-day moving average and a positive MACD crossover would flip the outlook toward the bulls.
Market mood timeline
Last 45 days · from momentum and volatilityToday: Neutral — Down 7.0% over 30 days; 34% below the running high; Realised volatility 28%
What NDX is moving with
Full market structure →Price history
Daily closes · CoinbaseTechnical indicators
Network & development
Score over time
Related news
No headlines tied to Nasdaq 100 yet.
Missing from this report
- Whale wallet movements — needs Arkham / Nansen / Whale Alert API key
- Exchange inflows & outflows — needs Glassnode or CryptoQuant API key
- Order-book depth & spreads — needs Exchange L2 market-data feed
- ETF & institutional flows — needs Farside / SoSoValue data feed
- Staking yield & % staked — needs Staking Rewards or beacon-chain API