Monero
XMRLast scan 2h ago
Moderately bullish (62% confidence)
Why this score
Monero's Confidence Score dipped slightly from 62.4 to 62.0 out of 100, primarily due to a low network sub-score of 26 as on-chain activity dropped 11% below its 30-day average. Offsetting this usage weakness, price momentum remains solid with a 70 sub-score, bolstered by XMR trading 9.3% above its 50-day moving average and maintaining a positive MACD histogram of 2.86. Overall risk remains manageable with a strong risk sub-score of 82, a perfect 100 in tokenomics, and zero active risk flags. The single biggest thing to watch next is whether network activity can rebound to align with the coin's upward price momentum.
- MACD above signalHistogram 2.86 — short-term trend is up.
- Above 50-day averagePrice is 9.3% above the 50-day moving average.
- Above 200-day averageLong-term trend structure remains intact.
- Network activity fallingOn-chain activity is 11% below its 30-day average.
Nothing flagged.
Score breakdown
Categories marked est fall back to free public data (exchange order books, global news tone) when a paid feed is off, and count at 60% weight. Only categories with no usable data at all score n/a, and their weight is spread across the rest.
What changed since the last scan
2h agoMonero’s confidence score saw a minor drop from 62.4 to 62.0, driven by decreases in news sentiment (down 3.8 points to 62) and momentum (down 2.2 points to 70). These declines were partially offset by positive moves in network usage (up 2.3 points to 26) and the inverted risk score (up 4.0 points to 82). With no new anomaly flags detected, these changes reflect routine sub-category recalibrations rather than a dramatic shift in XMR's profile. Ultimately, the metrics indicate a slight dampening in trend strength and news sentiment balanced by a marginally improved risk reading.
- • Momentum down 2.2 points (73 → 70)
- • Risk (inverted) up 4.0 points (78 → 82)
- • Network usage up 2.3 points (24 → 26)
- • News sentiment down 3.8 points (66 → 62)
AI confidence meter
- Data quality
- Fair
- Category coverage
- 75%
- Conflicting signals
- 1
- Missing data
- Social sentiment, Derivatives positioning
- • 6 of 8 score categories had data this scan
- • 3 of 5 data feeds responded
- • 1 signal contradict the overall read
- • Score is 12 points off neutral
Bull case vs bear case
Both cases built from the same evidenceBull case
Monero displays strong technical momentum with a sub-score of 70, supported by a positive MACD histogram of 2.86 and a price sitting 9.3% above its 50-day moving average. Its long-term trend structure remains intact above the 200-day moving average, while benefiting from a perfect tokenomics score of 100 and a high risk score of 82.
Bear case
Despite bullish price trends, network fundamentals are lagging with a weak network sub-score of 26. On-chain activity has fallen 11% below its 30-day average, pointing to declining usage. Furthermore, development sub-scores sit at a modest 50, indicating a lack of strong build activity to support price gains.
Balanced read: The evidence currently favors the bull case driven by strong momentum (70) and price holding 9.3% above the 50-day average alongside an overall confidence score of 62.0/100. A further breakdown in fundamentals beyond the 11% drop in on-chain activity or a failure to sustain its position above moving averages would flip the outlook toward the bears.
Anomalies detected
All signals →The score went from 67.3 to 58.9. Moves this large in one scan usually mean a category flipped rather than drifted.
The score went from 63.8 to 74.0. Moves this large in one scan usually mean a category flipped rather than drifted.
The score went from 55.1 to 63.8. Moves this large in one scan usually mean a category flipped rather than drifted.
Moves this size have happened on roughly 2.0% of days in the last 1.1 years. Large single-day moves often mark either the start or the exhaustion of a trend.
Reported trading volume is 66% above its 30-day average, but on-chain transactions are only -1% off their own baseline. Volume that does not show up as network settlement is more likely to be exchange churn or wash trading than new money entering.
Individually each of these is ordinary. Together they are unusual: RSI 79 (overbought), price at the upper Bollinger band, on-chain activity 16% below baseline. Clusters matter more than any single reading because they are less likely to be noise.
Market mood timeline
Last 45 days · from momentum and volatilityToday: Optimistic — Up 4.2% over 30 days; 17% below the running high; Realised volatility 40%
What XMR is moving with
Full market structure →Price history
Daily closes · CoinbaseTechnical indicators
Network & development
Score over time
Related news
No headlines tied to Monero yet.
Missing from this report
- Whale wallet movements — needs Arkham / Nansen / Whale Alert API key
- Exchange inflows & outflows — needs Glassnode or CryptoQuant API key
- Order-book depth & spreads — needs Exchange L2 market-data feed
- ETF & institutional flows — needs Farside / SoSoValue data feed
- Staking yield & % staked — needs Staking Rewards or beacon-chain API