← Dashboard

Hyperliquid

HYPE
$81.1524h -1.46% · 7d -1.13% · 30d +50.89%

Last scan 5h ago

61Confidence-3.4

Moderately bullish (61% confidence)

Why this score

Hyperliquid’s overall Confidence Score slipped from 63.9 to 60.5 out of 100, largely because a tokenomics score of 0 reflects significant future supply dilution. Even so, trend structure remains healthy, backed by a strong momentum score of 79/100 and a price sitting 27.2% above its 50-day moving average. Derivatives metrics are also solid at 73, though network activity trails slightly behind with a sub-score of 49. The single biggest thing to watch next is upcoming token unlocks, as only 22% of the maximum supply is currently in circulation.

Bullish
  • MACD above signalHistogram 0.21 — short-term trend is up.
  • Above 50-day averagePrice is 27.2% above the 50-day moving average.
  • Above 200-day averageLong-term trend structure remains intact.
Bearish

Nothing flagged.

Risks
  • Future dilutionOnly 22% of maximum supply is in circulation.

Score breakdown

Momentum3205%79
Risk (inverted)1538%63
Network usage1923%49
Developmentn/a
News sentiment1923%55
Social sentimentn/a
Derivatives positioning769%est73
Tokenomics641%0

Categories marked est fall back to free public data (exchange order books, global news tone) when a paid feed is off, and count at 60% weight. Only categories with no usable data at all score n/a, and their weight is spread across the rest.

What changed since the last scan

5h ago

Hyperliquid’s confidence score dipped from 63.9 to 60.5, led by a steep 20.3-point drop in news sentiment (75 to 55) and a 9.3-point contraction in network usage (58 to 49). Offsetting these declines slightly, momentum edged up 2.1 points to 79, derivatives positioning rose 2.4 points to 73, and the inverted risk score improved by 4.8 points to 63. This shift matters because cooling news coverage and reduced network activity are pulling down the asset's overall metric profile, even as derivative interest and momentum remain relatively resilient. No new anomaly flags were triggered during this scan.

  • Momentum up 2.1 points (77 → 79)
  • Risk (inverted) up 4.8 points (58 → 63)
  • Network usage down 9.3 points (58 → 49)
  • News sentiment down 20.3 points (75 → 55)
  • Derivatives positioning up 2.4 points (70 → 73)

AI confidence meter

Leaning bullish75%
Data quality
Fair
Category coverage
75%
Conflicting signals
0
Missing data
Development, Social sentiment
  • 6 of 8 score categories had data this scan
  • 3 of 5 data feeds responded
  • Signals all point the same way
  • Score is 11 points off neutral

Bull case vs bear case

Both cases built from the same evidence

Bull case

Hyperliquid exhibits robust technical strength, driven by a momentum sub-score of 79 and a price sitting 27.2% above its 50-day moving average. The short-term bullish trend is reinforced by a MACD histogram of 0.21 alongside a solid derivatives sub-score of 73. These positive indicators contribute to an overall confidence score of 60.5/100.

Bear case

Despite positive price momentum, HYPE carries extreme supply overhang given that only 22% of its maximum supply is in circulation, resulting in a tokenomics sub-score of 0. Furthermore, the asset displays a weak network sub-score of 49 and an elevated risk sub-score of 63. This massive potential for future token dilution poses a severe risk to long-term holders.

Balanced read: The evidence currently favors the bull case due to a high momentum sub-score of 79 and trading 27.2% above its 50-day moving average. A breakdown in technical structure or significant dilution from the remaining 78% uncirculated token supply would flip the bias toward the bears.

Market mood timeline

Last 45 days · from momentum and volatility
PanicFearNeutralOptimisticEuphoria

Today: Euphoria Up 50.9% over 30 days; 4% below the running high; Realised volatility 91%

What HYPE is moving with

Full market structure →
Crude oil30d -0.06 · 90d -0.13 · Moving independently
Gold30d 0.48 · 90d 0.30 · Moderate positive relationship
Nvidia (AI proxy)30d 0.13 · 90d 0.24 · Moving independently
Silver30d 0.48 · 90d 0.20 · Moderate positive relationship
Nasdaq 10030d 0.18 · 90d 0.38 · Moving independently
S&P 50030d 0.16 · 90d 0.35 · Moving independently
US Dollar Index30d -0.30 · 90d -0.25 · Weak inverse relationship

Price history

Daily closes · Coinbase
Range change +81.3%

Technical indicators

RSI (14)
65.2
Neutral range
MACD hist
SMA 50
$63.94
SMA 200
$51.91
Volatility 30d
81%
ATR 14
Bollinger %B
Dist. from ATH
—%
Trend
--

Network & development

Transactions (24h)
1.95M
vs 30d average
—%
Hash rate trend
—%
Avg fee
0.1542
Commits (30d)
GitHub
Contributors
Stars
Circulating supply
222.45M
Supply issued
--
Max 1B

Score over time

Related news

No headlines tied to Hyperliquid yet.

Missing from this report

  • Whale wallet movements — needs Arkham / Nansen / Whale Alert API key
  • Exchange inflows & outflows — needs Glassnode or CryptoQuant API key
  • Order-book depth & spreads — needs Exchange L2 market-data feed
  • ETF & institutional flows — needs Farside / SoSoValue data feed
  • Staking yield & % staked — needs Staking Rewards or beacon-chain API

Research tool, not financial advice. Scores are computed from public data and can be wrong. Nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any asset. AI Bot Arena results are simulated paper trading, not actual investment returns.