Global Dollar
USDGLast scan 7d ago
Moderately bullish (64% confidence)
Why this score
Global Dollar’s Confidence Score improved to 63.5 out of 100, up from 56.8 in the previous scan, driven by an exceptionally low-risk profile with a risk sub-score of 99 and a perfect derivatives sub-score of 100. However, underlying technicals remain weak, as a momentum sub-score of 48 reflects a negative MACD histogram of -0.00 despite the price sitting 0.0% above its 50-day moving average. Additionally, the overall price remains below its 200-day moving average, meaning the long-term trend structure is currently broken. The single biggest thing to watch next is whether the price can break back above its 200-day moving average to signal a long-term trend recovery.
- Above 50-day averagePrice is 0.0% above the 50-day moving average.
- MACD below signalHistogram -0.00 — short-term trend is down.
- Below 200-day averageLong-term trend structure is broken.
Nothing flagged.
Score breakdown
Categories marked est fall back to free public data (exchange order books, global news tone) when a paid feed is off, and count at 60% weight. Only categories with no usable data at all score n/a, and their weight is spread across the rest.
What changed since the last scan
7d agoSince the previous scan, Global Dollar (USDG) saw its confidence score rise from 56.8 to 63.5, propelled by notable gains in news sentiment (up 13.5 points to 62), network usage (up 10.6 points to 48), and momentum (up 5.1 points to 48). A new anomaly flag was also triggered as the asset's volatility touched a multi-year low. This uptick matters because the simultaneous increases in network activity and news coverage signal growing user interaction and positive market focus, while suppressed volatility underscores a period of strong price stability for the token.
- • Momentum up 5.1 points (43 → 48)
- • Network usage up 10.6 points (37 → 48)
- • News sentiment up 13.5 points (48 → 62)
AI confidence meter
- Data quality
- Fair
- Category coverage
- 63%
- Conflicting signals
- 1
- Missing data
- Development, Social sentiment, Tokenomics
- • 5 of 8 score categories had data this scan
- • 3 of 5 data feeds responded
- • 1 signal contradict the overall read
- • Score is 14 points off neutral
Bull case vs bear case
Both cases built from the same evidenceBull case
USDG demonstrates exceptional defensive qualities, backed by an ideal derivatives sub-score of 100, a near-perfect risk sub-score of 99, and zero identified risk flags. Furthermore, price stability remains intact at 0.0% above the 50-day moving average while volatility sits near a multi-year low.
Bear case
Weak momentum signals point to underlying technical pressure, reflected in both a momentum sub-score of 48 and a network sub-score of 48. The short-term trend is downwards with the MACD histogram below signal at -0.00, while staying below the 200-day moving average indicates a broken long-term trend structure.
Balanced read: The evidence currently favours a moderately bullish stance, anchored by a 63.5/100 overall confidence score and outstanding risk (99) and derivatives (100) sub-scores. The outlook would flip in favour of the bear case if price drops conclusively below the 50-day moving average alongside worsening momentum metrics.
Anomalies detected
All signals →30-day annualised volatility of 0% sits at the 2.2th percentile of the last 1.2 years. Compressed volatility tends to resolve into a larger move, but it does not say which direction.
30-day annualised volatility of 0% sits at the 2.0th percentile of the last 1.2 years. Compressed volatility tends to resolve into a larger move, but it does not say which direction.
30-day annualised volatility of 0% sits at the 2.0th percentile of the last 1.2 years. Compressed volatility tends to resolve into a larger move, but it does not say which direction.
The score went from 59.3 to 50.8. Moves this large in one scan usually mean a category flipped rather than drifted.
30-day annualised volatility of 0% sits at the 1.3th percentile of the last 1.2 years. Compressed volatility tends to resolve into a larger move, but it does not say which direction.
30-day annualised volatility of 0% sits at the 0.5th percentile of the last 1.2 years. Compressed volatility tends to resolve into a larger move, but it does not say which direction.
Market mood timeline
Last 45 days · from momentum and volatilityToday: Optimistic — Up 0.0% over 30 days; 3% below the running high; Realised volatility 0%
What USDG is moving with
Full market structure →Price history
Daily closes · CoinbaseTechnical indicators
Network & development
Score over time
Related news
No headlines tied to Global Dollar yet.
Missing from this report
- Whale wallet movements — needs Arkham / Nansen / Whale Alert API key
- Exchange inflows & outflows — needs Glassnode or CryptoQuant API key
- Order-book depth & spreads — needs Exchange L2 market-data feed
- ETF & institutional flows — needs Farside / SoSoValue data feed
- Staking yield & % staked — needs Staking Rewards or beacon-chain API