Ethena USDe
USDELast scan 4d ago
Bullish (77% confidence)
Why this score
Ethena USDe’s Confidence Score rose slightly to 76.8 out of 100 from 75.8 in the last scan, primarily lifted by positive coverage across 40 recent news stories (news sub-score of 73) and healthy market momentum (68). The asset maintains a top risk sub-score of 100 with zero active risk flags or bearish signals, supported by a short-term MACD uptrend and price trading above both its 50-day and 200-day moving averages. This indicates that USDe's long-term trend structure remains solid while market sentiment stays favorable. The single biggest thing to watch next is whether the asset can hold its position above its 50-day moving average to keep this positive momentum intact.
- MACD above signalHistogram 0.00 — short-term trend is up.
- Above 50-day averagePrice is 0.0% above the 50-day moving average.
- Above 200-day averageLong-term trend structure remains intact.
- Positive news flowRecent coverage across 40 stories leans bullish.
Nothing flagged.
Nothing flagged.
Score breakdown
Categories marked est fall back to free public data (exchange order books, global news tone) when a paid feed is off, and count at 60% weight. Only categories with no usable data at all score n/a, and their weight is spread across the rest.
What changed since the last scan
4d agoEthena USDe’s overall confidence score ticked up slightly from 75.8 to 76.8 since the last scan, primarily propelled by a 7.6-point increase in Momentum from 60 to 68. This upward trend offset a minor 2.5-point decline in News sentiment, which dipped from 75 to 73. Additionally, a new anomaly flag shows that the asset's volatility is currently sitting near a multi-year low. This matters because the combination of strengthening momentum and suppressed volatility points to a period of calm, steady positioning for the asset.
- • Momentum up 7.6 points (60 → 68)
- • News sentiment down 2.5 points (75 → 73)
AI confidence meter
- Data quality
- Limited
- Category coverage
- 38%
- Conflicting signals
- 0
- Missing data
- Network usage, Development, Social sentiment, Derivatives positioning, Tokenomics
- • 3 of 8 score categories had data this scan
- • 3 of 5 data feeds responded
- • Signals all point the same way
- • Score is 27 points off neutral
Bull case vs bear case
Both cases built from the same evidenceBull case
Ethena USDe demonstrates strong overall positioning with a confidence score of 76.8/100 and a perfect risk sub-score of 100. The asset maintains an intact long-term trend structure above its 200-day moving average, supported by a 68 momentum score, an MACD above signal, and positive coverage across 40 news stories.
Bear case
Despite the lack of active risk flags, the price sits at exactly 0.0% above its 50-day moving average with an MACD histogram reading of 0.00, reflecting stagnant momentum. Furthermore, asset volatility sits near a multi-year low while critical fundamental metrics like network, development, and tokenomics remain completely untracked.
Balanced read: The evidence currently favors a cautious bull case due to a high risk score of 100, an intact trend above the 200-day average, and zero active risk flags. A drop below the 50-day moving average or a negative shift in news sentiment from its current 73 sub-score would flip the perspective toward the bears.
Anomalies detected
All signals →30-day annualised volatility of 0% sits at the 0.8th percentile of the last 1.1 years. Compressed volatility tends to resolve into a larger move, but it does not say which direction.
30-day annualised volatility of 0% sits at the 0.6th percentile of the last 1.1 years. Compressed volatility tends to resolve into a larger move, but it does not say which direction.
30-day annualised volatility of 0% sits at the 0.0th percentile of the last 1.1 years. Compressed volatility tends to resolve into a larger move, but it does not say which direction.
The score went from 70.2 to 78.4. Moves this large in one scan usually mean a category flipped rather than drifted.
Market mood timeline
Last 45 days · from momentum and volatilityToday: Optimistic — Up 0.1% over 30 days; At or near the running high; Realised volatility 0%
What USDE is moving with
Full market structure →Price history
Daily closes · CoinbaseTechnical indicators
Network & development
Score over time
Related news
No headlines tied to Ethena USDe yet.
Missing from this report
- Whale wallet movements — needs Arkham / Nansen / Whale Alert API key
- Exchange inflows & outflows — needs Glassnode or CryptoQuant API key
- Order-book depth & spreads — needs Exchange L2 market-data feed
- ETF & institutional flows — needs Farside / SoSoValue data feed
- Staking yield & % staked — needs Staking Rewards or beacon-chain API