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Ethena USDe

USDE
$0.99962424h +0.03% · 7d 0.00% · 30d 0.00%

Last scan 6d ago

57Confidence+6.5

Slightly bullish (57% confidence)

Why this score

Ethena USDe’s Confidence Score rose to 57.3 out of 100 (up from 50.8), driven primarily by a maximum risk sub-score of 100 and a long-term trend structure that remains intact above its 200-day moving average. However, short-term momentum sits at a modest 51 because the price has dipped slightly below its 50-day moving average alongside a negative MACD indicator. Social sentiment (36) and news (47) sub-scores also reflect caution, even while underlying network activity stays stable with a score of 52. The single biggest thing to watch next is whether the price can cross back above its 50-day moving average to turn short-term trend indicators positive.

Bullish
  • Above 200-day averageLong-term trend structure remains intact.
Bearish
  • MACD below signalHistogram -0.00 — short-term trend is down.
  • Below 50-day averagePrice is -0.0% below the 50-day moving average.
Risks

Nothing flagged.

Score breakdown

Momentum3425%51
Risk (inverted)1644%100
Network usage2055%52
Developmentn/a
News sentiment2055%47
Social sentiment822%est36
Derivatives positioningn/a
Tokenomicsn/a

Categories marked est fall back to free public data (exchange order books, global news tone) when a paid feed is off, and count at 60% weight. Only categories with no usable data at all score n/a, and their weight is spread across the rest.

What changed since the last scan

6d ago

Since the previous scan, Ethena USDe’s overall confidence score increased from 50.8 to 57.3, driven primarily by a 23.0-point surge in network usage (from 29 to 52) and an 8.4-point gain in momentum (from 43 to 51). This matters because the substantial jump in network activity points to significantly stronger on-chain engagement without triggering any new anomaly flags. Broad market context includes headlines on institutional tokenization tests by BNY and Citadel Securities, alongside regulatory updates in Dubai and the Philippines. Overall, the quantitative data shows a clear, anomaly-free strengthening in USDe's underlying adoption and metric velocity since the last update.

  • • Momentum up 8.4 points (43 → 51)
  • • Network usage up 23.0 points (29 → 52)

AI confidence meter

Leaning bullish48%
Data quality
Fair
Category coverage
63%
Conflicting signals
1
Missing data
Development, Derivatives positioning, Tokenomics
  • • 5 of 8 score categories had data this scan
  • • 3 of 5 data feeds responded
  • • 1 signal contradict the overall read
  • • Score sits close to neutral, so the read is weak by construction

Bull case vs bear case

Both cases built from the same evidence

Bull case

Ethena USDe demonstrates strong structural stability, highlighted by a maximum risk sub-score of 100/100 with zero active risk flags or anomalies. Additionally, its long-term trend structure remains intact as price holds above the 200-day moving average, supported by balanced momentum (51) and network (52) sub-scores.

Bear case

Short-term momentum is slumping, evidenced by price sitting -0.0% below its 50-day moving average and a bearish MACD crossover with a histogram of -0.00. Overall sentiment also lags, reflected in weak social (36) and news (47) sub-scores that drag the confidence score to 57.3/100.

Balanced read: The evidence currently favors a cautious bull case due to the perfect 100 risk score and intact long-term trend above the 200-day moving average. A breakdown below the 200-day average combined with further deterioration in the social sub-score (36) would flip the outlook to bearish.

Anomalies detected

All signals →
notable3 uncommon bullish conditions landed in the same scan9d ago

Individually each of these is ordinary. Together they are unusual: RSI 26 (oversold), price at the lower Bollinger band, trading within 3% of its high. Clusters matter more than any single reading because they are less likely to be noise.

notableConfidence Score moved -13.8 points in a single scan9d ago

The score went from 64.6 to 50.8. Moves this large in one scan usually mean a category flipped rather than drifted.

rareConfidence Score moved +15.9 points in a single scan12d ago

The score went from 52.6 to 68.5. Moves this large in one scan usually mean a category flipped rather than drifted.

rareVolume in the bottom 1% of its history16d ago

Today's traded volume ranks at the 1.0th percentile of the last 1.2 years. Thin participation means prices move on very little conviction.

notableConfidence Score moved -10.5 points in a single scan23d ago

The score went from 68.6 to 58.1. Moves this large in one scan usually mean a category flipped rather than drifted.

notableConfidence Score moved +8.4 points in a single scan24d ago

The score went from 67.2 to 75.6. Moves this large in one scan usually mean a category flipped rather than drifted.

Market mood timeline

Last 45 days · from momentum and volatility
PanicFearNeutralOptimisticEuphoria

Today: Optimistic — Up 0.0% over 30 days; At or near the running high; Realised volatility 0%

What USDE is moving with

Full market structure →
Bitcoin30d — · 90d — · Not enough overlapping data
Crude oil30d -0.01 · 90d 0.06 · Moving independently
Gold30d -0.27 · 90d -0.03 · Weak inverse relationship
Nvidia (AI proxy)30d 0.21 · 90d 0.18 · Weak positive relationship
Silver30d -0.15 · 90d -0.04 · Moving independently
Nasdaq 10030d 0.37 · 90d 0.07 · Weak positive relationship
S&P 50030d 0.29 · 90d 0.12 · Weak positive relationship
US Dollar Index30d -0.26 · 90d -0.14 · Weak inverse relationship

Price history

Daily closes · Coinbase
Range change -0.0%

Technical indicators

RSI (14)
46.8
Neutral range
MACD hist
—
SMA 50
$0.999663
SMA 200
$0.999459
Volatility 30d
0.4%
ATR 14
—
Bollinger %B
—
Dist. from ATH
—%
Trend
--

Network & development

Transactions (24h)
1.92M
vs 30d average
—%
Hash rate trend
—%
Avg fee
0.2011
Commits (30d)
—
GitHub
Contributors
—
Stars
—
Circulating supply
4.76B
Supply issued
--
No hard cap

Score over time

Related news

No headlines tied to Ethena USDe yet.

Missing from this report

  • Whale wallet movements — needs Arkham / Nansen / Whale Alert API key
  • Exchange inflows & outflows — needs Glassnode or CryptoQuant API key
  • Order-book depth & spreads — needs Exchange L2 market-data feed
  • ETF & institutional flows — needs Farside / SoSoValue data feed
  • Staking yield & % staked — needs Staking Rewards or beacon-chain API

Research tool, not financial advice. Scores are computed from public data and can be wrong. Nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any asset. AI Bot Arena results are simulated paper trading, not actual investment returns.