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Ethena

ENA
$0.20837624h +7.16% · 7d -2.32% · 30d -18.68%

Last scan 3d ago

50Confidence-5.4

Neutral (50% confidence)

Why this score

Ethena’s confidence score slipped from 55.4 down to 50.0 out of 100, largely driven by very low social engagement (scoring 21) and high overall volatility pulling down its risk rating. While technical momentum (62) and derivatives interest (64) remain relatively healthy—supported by the price holding 1.4% above its 50-day moving average and staying above its 200-day average—the token still faces a steep 74% drawdown from its 5-year high. Furthermore, an intense 104% annualized volatility rate highlights ongoing price instability that continues to weigh on the asset's overall score. The single biggest thing to watch next is whether ENA can hold its position above its 50-day moving average to prevent further erosion of its short-term trend.

Bullish
  • MACD above signalHistogram 0.00 — short-term trend is up.
  • Above 50-day averagePrice is 1.4% above the 50-day moving average.
  • Above 200-day averageLong-term trend structure remains intact.
Bearish

Nothing flagged.

Risks
  • Elevated volatility30-day annualised volatility is 104%.
  • Deep drawdownTrading 74% below its 5-year high.

Score breakdown

Momentum2841%62
Risk (inverted)1364%39
Network usage1705%48
Developmentn/a
News sentiment1705%57
Social sentiment1136%21
Derivatives positioning682%est64
Tokenomics568%41

Categories marked est fall back to free public data (exchange order books, global news tone) when a paid feed is off, and count at 60% weight. Only categories with no usable data at all score n/a, and their weight is spread across the rest.

What changed since the last scan

3d ago

Since the previous scan, Ethena's (ENA) overall confidence score dropped from 55.4 to 50.0, primarily driven by a severe 51.6-point collapse in social sentiment from 73 down to 21. Additional headwinds included minor decreases in news sentiment (down 8.2 points to 57) and derivatives positioning (down 7.2 points to 64). These declines were partially counterbalanced by positive movement in momentum, which gained 10.4 points to reach 62, and a 4.3-point improvement in inverted risk to 39. This matters because the sharp drop in community engagement and sentiment creates a notable divergence from building price momentum, pulling down the asset's overall stability score despite the absence of new anomaly flags.

  • • Momentum up 10.4 points (52 → 62)
  • • Risk (inverted) up 4.3 points (35 → 39)
  • • News sentiment down 8.2 points (65 → 57)
  • • Social sentiment down 51.6 points (73 → 21)
  • • Derivatives positioning down 7.2 points (72 → 64)

AI confidence meter

Neutral73%
Data quality
Fair
Category coverage
88%
Conflicting signals
0
Missing data
Development
  • • 7 of 8 score categories had data this scan
  • • 3 of 5 data feeds responded
  • • Signals all point the same way
  • • Score sits close to neutral, so the read is weak by construction

Bull case vs bear case

Both cases built from the same evidence

Bull case

Ethena displays positive trend indicators, with its price trading 1.4% above the 50-day moving average and remaining above its 200-day moving average. The short-term trend is up with the MACD positioned above its signal line (0.00 histogram), backed by strong derivatives (64) and momentum (62) sub-scores.

Bear case

Despite solid price trends, Ethena carries high risk flags, including a steep 74% drawdown from its 5-year high and elevated 30-day annualised volatility of 104%. Weak underlying sub-scores in social activity (21), risk (39), and tokenomics (41) highlight significant structural vulnerabilities.

Balanced read: With an overall confidence score of 50.0/100 and no direct bearish signals, the evidence currently favors a slightly bullish technical stance over the macro headwinds. A breakdown below the 50-day moving average or further decay in tokenomics would flip the perspective back to the bears.

Anomalies detected

All signals →
notableConfidence Score moved +8.1 points in a single scan5d ago

The score went from 47.3 to 55.4. Moves this large in one scan usually mean a category flipped rather than drifted.

notableExchanges disagree on price by 0.47%25d ago

Spot quotes across major venues normally sit within about 0.1% of each other. A wider gap points to stressed liquidity, an outage, or one venue being pushed by concentrated flow.

rareConfidence Score moved +16.6 points in a single scan26d ago

The score went from 31.5 to 48.1. Moves this large in one scan usually mean a category flipped rather than drifted.

notableExchanges disagree on price by 0.46%35d ago

Spot quotes across major venues normally sit within about 0.1% of each other. A wider gap points to stressed liquidity, an outage, or one venue being pushed by concentrated flow.

Market mood timeline

Last 45 days · from momentum and volatility
PanicFearNeutralOptimisticEuphoria

Today: Panic — Down 18.7% over 30 days; 74% below the running high; Realised volatility 109%

What ENA is moving with

Full market structure →
Crude oil30d -0.27 · 90d -0.13 · Weak inverse relationship
Gold30d -0.35 · 90d -0.08 · Weak inverse relationship
Nvidia (AI proxy)30d 0.17 · 90d 0.01 · Moving independently
Silver30d -0.19 · 90d -0.05 · Moving independently
Nasdaq 10030d 0.08 · 90d 0.02 · Moving independently
S&P 50030d 0.11 · 90d 0.05 · Moving independently
US Dollar Index30d 0.24 · 90d 0.20 · Weak positive relationship

Price history

Daily closes · Coinbase
Range change -52.9%

Technical indicators

RSI (14)
57.6
Neutral range
MACD hist
—
SMA 50
$0.205825
SMA 200
$0.127745
Volatility 30d
103.9%
ATR 14
—
Bollinger %B
—
Dist. from ATH
—%
Trend
--

Network & development

Transactions (24h)
1.82M
vs 30d average
—%
Hash rate trend
—%
Avg fee
0.136
Commits (30d)
—
GitHub
Contributors
—
Stars
—
Circulating supply
13.41B
Supply issued
--
Max 15B

Score over time

Related news

No headlines tied to Ethena yet.

Missing from this report

  • Whale wallet movements — needs Arkham / Nansen / Whale Alert API key
  • Exchange inflows & outflows — needs Glassnode or CryptoQuant API key
  • Order-book depth & spreads — needs Exchange L2 market-data feed
  • ETF & institutional flows — needs Farside / SoSoValue data feed
  • Staking yield & % staked — needs Staking Rewards or beacon-chain API

Research tool, not financial advice. Scores are computed from public data and can be wrong. Nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any asset. AI Bot Arena results are simulated paper trading, not actual investment returns.