US Dollar Index
DXYLast scan 2d ago
Moderately bullish (66% confidence)
Why this score
The DXY Confidence Score rose to 65.5 from 62.8 in the previous scan, driven by positive news coverage across 33 recent stories (news score of 69) and improving short-term momentum, highlighted by a positive MACD histogram of 0.17. Despite an exceptionally strong risk sub-score of 98, long-term technical headwinds persist as the index remains -2.5% below its 50-day moving average and under its 200-day trendline. The single biggest thing to watch next is whether this short-term momentum is strong enough to push the price back above its 50-day moving average.
- MACD above signalHistogram 0.17 — short-term trend is up.
- Positive news flowRecent coverage across 33 stories leans bullish.
- Below 50-day averagePrice is -2.5% below the 50-day moving average.
- Below 200-day averageLong-term trend structure is broken.
Nothing flagged.
Score breakdown
Categories marked est fall back to free public data (exchange order books, global news tone) when a paid feed is off, and count at 60% weight. Only categories with no usable data at all score n/a, and their weight is spread across the rest.
What changed since the last scan
2d agoSince the previous scan, the US Dollar Index (DXY) confidence score rose modestly from 62.8 to 65.5, driven by a 9.1-point increase in news sentiment from 60 to 69. No new anomaly flags were triggered during this cycle. This shift matters because it highlights a slight improvement in broader news coverage stability, underpinned by headlines focusing on institutional tokenization initiatives from major banks alongside notable legal enforcement updates.
- • News sentiment up 9.1 points (60 → 69)
AI confidence meter
- Data quality
- Limited
- Category coverage
- 38%
- Conflicting signals
- 2
- Missing data
- Network usage, Development, Social sentiment, Derivatives positioning, Tokenomics
- • 3 of 8 score categories had data this scan
- • 2 of 5 data feeds responded
- • 2 signals contradict the overall read
- • Score is 16 points off neutral
Bull case vs bear case
Both cases built from the same evidenceBull case
Short-term momentum shows signs of recovery, supported by a MACD floating above its signal line with a histogram of 0.17. Sentiment is also supportive, with recent coverage across 33 news stories leaning bullish (news score of 69) and an outstanding risk sub-score of 98/100.
Bear case
Despite short-term upticks, the broader technical structure is severely damaged with the price sitting -2.5% below its 50-day moving average and under its 200-day moving average. This long-term breakdown is underscored by a weak momentum sub-score of just 48/100.
Balanced read: The evidence currently favors the bear case due to the broken long-term trend structure below both the 200-day and 50-day moving averages (-2.5%) alongside a mediocre 48 momentum sub-score. A sustained breakout back above the 50-day moving average paired with strengthening momentum would flip the outlook in favor of the bulls.
Market mood timeline
Last 45 days · from momentum and volatilityToday: Optimistic — Down 3.1% over 30 days; 9% below the running high; Realised volatility 11%
What DXY is moving with
Full market structure →Price history
Daily closes · CoinbaseTechnical indicators
Network & development
Score over time
Related news
No headlines tied to US Dollar Index yet.
Missing from this report
- Whale wallet movements — needs Arkham / Nansen / Whale Alert API key
- Exchange inflows & outflows — needs Glassnode or CryptoQuant API key
- Order-book depth & spreads — needs Exchange L2 market-data feed
- ETF & institutional flows — needs Farside / SoSoValue data feed
- Staking yield & % staked — needs Staking Rewards or beacon-chain API