Dai
DAILast scan 17h ago
Moderately bullish (64% confidence)
Why this score
Dai’s Confidence Score slipped from 67.0 to 63.9 out of 100, primarily driven by a weak network sub-score of 21 as on-chain activity dropped 14% below its 30-day average. Despite this falling usage, the token maintains maximum safety with perfect risk and tokenomics sub-scores of 100/100, while its price holds above both its 50-day and 200-day moving averages. Positive MACD signals also indicate that short-term trend structure remains intact with a healthy momentum score of 68. The single biggest thing to watch next is whether on-chain network activity can rebound back toward its 30-day average.
- MACD above signalHistogram 0.00 — short-term trend is up.
- Above 50-day averagePrice is 0.0% above the 50-day moving average.
- Above 200-day averageLong-term trend structure remains intact.
- Network activity fallingOn-chain activity is 14% below its 30-day average.
Nothing flagged.
Score breakdown
Categories marked est fall back to free public data (exchange order books, global news tone) when a paid feed is off, and count at 60% weight. Only categories with no usable data at all score n/a, and their weight is spread across the rest.
What changed since the last scan
17h agoDai’s confidence score decreased from 67.0 to 63.9 following a sharp 14.1-point drop in its network usage category, which fell from 35 to 21. No new anomaly flags were triggered during this scan. This shift matters because the drop in network usage points to reduced transactional activity and lower overall on-chain utilization for the stablecoin since the previous update.
- • Network usage down 14.1 points (35 → 21)
AI confidence meter
- Data quality
- Fair
- Category coverage
- 63%
- Conflicting signals
- 1
- Missing data
- Development, Social sentiment, Derivatives positioning
- • 5 of 8 score categories had data this scan
- • 3 of 5 data feeds responded
- • 1 signal contradict the overall read
- • Score is 14 points off neutral
Bull case vs bear case
Both cases built from the same evidenceBull case
Dai demonstrates strong structural stability, backed by perfect sub-scores of 100 in both risk and tokenomics alongside a momentum score of 68. Its short-term and long-term trends remain intact with the price holding 0.0% above the 50-day moving average, staying above the 200-day average, and maintaining a MACD above its signal line. Furthermore, adoption metrics show a positive backdrop as crypto payments jumped 45% across major payment networks.
Bear case
Network adoption presents a significant headwind, reflected in a low network sub-score of just 21. On-chain activity has dropped 14% below its 30-day average, indicating diminishing user participation on the protocol level. This weakness is compounded by broader market headlines noting that stablecoin supply growth has stalled.
Balanced read: The evidence currently favours the bull case due to maximum risk (100) and tokenomics (100) sub-scores combined with intact technical structures above the 50-day and 200-day averages. A continued deterioration in network activity beyond the current 14% decline or a drop below key trendlines would flip the outlook in favour of the bears.
Anomalies detected
All signals →Today's traded volume ranks at the 99.4th percentile of the last 2.4 years. Heavy participation usually accompanies a real move rather than drift.
The score went from 60.0 to 73.1. Moves this large in one scan usually mean a category flipped rather than drifted.
The score went from 51.8 to 69.8. Moves this large in one scan usually mean a category flipped rather than drifted.
Today's traded volume ranks at the 99.6th percentile of the last 2.3 years. Heavy participation usually accompanies a real move rather than drift.
Reported trading volume is 64% above its 30-day average, but on-chain transactions are only -17% off their own baseline. Volume that does not show up as network settlement is more likely to be exchange churn or wash trading than new money entering.
Today's traded volume ranks at the 99.6th percentile of the last 2.3 years. Heavy participation usually accompanies a real move rather than drift.
Market mood timeline
Last 45 days · from momentum and volatilityToday: Optimistic — Up 0.0% over 30 days; At or near the running high; Realised volatility 0%
What DAI is moving with
Full market structure →Price history
Daily closes · CoinbaseTechnical indicators
Network & development
Score over time
Related news
No headlines tied to Dai yet.
Missing from this report
- Whale wallet movements — needs Arkham / Nansen / Whale Alert API key
- Exchange inflows & outflows — needs Glassnode or CryptoQuant API key
- Order-book depth & spreads — needs Exchange L2 market-data feed
- ETF & institutional flows — needs Farside / SoSoValue data feed
- Staking yield & % staked — needs Staking Rewards or beacon-chain API