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Dai

DAI
$1.0024h 0.00% · 7d +0.02% · 30d +0.01%

Last scan 17h ago

64Confidence-3.1

Moderately bullish (64% confidence)

Why this score

Dai’s Confidence Score slipped from 67.0 to 63.9 out of 100, primarily driven by a weak network sub-score of 21 as on-chain activity dropped 14% below its 30-day average. Despite this falling usage, the token maintains maximum safety with perfect risk and tokenomics sub-scores of 100/100, while its price holds above both its 50-day and 200-day moving averages. Positive MACD signals also indicate that short-term trend structure remains intact with a healthy momentum score of 68. The single biggest thing to watch next is whether on-chain network activity can rebound back toward its 30-day average.

Bullish
  • MACD above signalHistogram 0.00 — short-term trend is up.
  • Above 50-day averagePrice is 0.0% above the 50-day moving average.
  • Above 200-day averageLong-term trend structure remains intact.
Bearish
  • Network activity fallingOn-chain activity is 14% below its 30-day average.
Risks

Nothing flagged.

Score breakdown

Momentum3472%68
Risk (inverted)1667%100
Network usage2083%21
Developmentn/a
News sentiment2083%58
Social sentimentn/a
Derivatives positioningn/a
Tokenomics694%100

Categories marked est fall back to free public data (exchange order books, global news tone) when a paid feed is off, and count at 60% weight. Only categories with no usable data at all score n/a, and their weight is spread across the rest.

What changed since the last scan

17h ago

Dai’s confidence score decreased from 67.0 to 63.9 following a sharp 14.1-point drop in its network usage category, which fell from 35 to 21. No new anomaly flags were triggered during this scan. This shift matters because the drop in network usage points to reduced transactional activity and lower overall on-chain utilization for the stablecoin since the previous update.

  • • Network usage down 14.1 points (35 → 21)

AI confidence meter

Leaning bullish57%
Data quality
Fair
Category coverage
63%
Conflicting signals
1
Missing data
Development, Social sentiment, Derivatives positioning
  • • 5 of 8 score categories had data this scan
  • • 3 of 5 data feeds responded
  • • 1 signal contradict the overall read
  • • Score is 14 points off neutral

Bull case vs bear case

Both cases built from the same evidence

Bull case

Dai demonstrates strong structural stability, backed by perfect sub-scores of 100 in both risk and tokenomics alongside a momentum score of 68. Its short-term and long-term trends remain intact with the price holding 0.0% above the 50-day moving average, staying above the 200-day average, and maintaining a MACD above its signal line. Furthermore, adoption metrics show a positive backdrop as crypto payments jumped 45% across major payment networks.

Bear case

Network adoption presents a significant headwind, reflected in a low network sub-score of just 21. On-chain activity has dropped 14% below its 30-day average, indicating diminishing user participation on the protocol level. This weakness is compounded by broader market headlines noting that stablecoin supply growth has stalled.

Balanced read: The evidence currently favours the bull case due to maximum risk (100) and tokenomics (100) sub-scores combined with intact technical structures above the 50-day and 200-day averages. A continued deterioration in network activity beyond the current 14% decline or a drop below key trendlines would flip the outlook in favour of the bears.

Anomalies detected

All signals →
rareVolume in the top 1% of its history6d ago

Today's traded volume ranks at the 99.4th percentile of the last 2.4 years. Heavy participation usually accompanies a real move rather than drift.

notableConfidence Score moved +13.1 points in a single scan27d ago

The score went from 60.0 to 73.1. Moves this large in one scan usually mean a category flipped rather than drifted.

rareConfidence Score moved +18.0 points in a single scan32d ago

The score went from 51.8 to 69.8. Moves this large in one scan usually mean a category flipped rather than drifted.

extremeVolume in the top 1% of its history35d ago

Today's traded volume ranks at the 99.6th percentile of the last 2.3 years. Heavy participation usually accompanies a real move rather than drift.

notableExchange volume spiking while on-chain activity is flat35d ago

Reported trading volume is 64% above its 30-day average, but on-chain transactions are only -17% off their own baseline. Volume that does not show up as network settlement is more likely to be exchange churn or wash trading than new money entering.

extremeVolume in the top 1% of its history43d ago

Today's traded volume ranks at the 99.6th percentile of the last 2.3 years. Heavy participation usually accompanies a real move rather than drift.

Market mood timeline

Last 45 days · from momentum and volatility
PanicFearNeutralOptimisticEuphoria

Today: Optimistic — Up 0.0% over 30 days; At or near the running high; Realised volatility 0%

What DAI is moving with

Full market structure →
Crude oil30d 0.10 · 90d -0.46 · Moving independently
Gold30d -0.11 · 90d -0.29 · Moving independently
Nvidia (AI proxy)30d -0.14 · 90d -0.02 · Moving independently
Silver30d -0.11 · 90d -0.26 · Moving independently
Nasdaq 10030d -0.27 · 90d 0.22 · Weak inverse relationship
S&P 50030d -0.21 · 90d 0.20 · Weak inverse relationship
US Dollar Index30d -0.02 · 90d 0.34 · Moving independently

Price history

Daily closes · Coinbase
Range change +0.0%

Technical indicators

RSI (14)
59.4
Neutral range
MACD hist
—
SMA 50
$0.999932
SMA 200
$0.99993
Volatility 30d
0.2%
ATR 14
—
Bollinger %B
—
Dist. from ATH
—%
Trend
--

Network & development

Transactions (24h)
1.59M
vs 30d average
—%
Hash rate trend
—%
Avg fee
0.1419
Commits (30d)
—
GitHub
Contributors
—
Stars
—
Circulating supply
4.53B
Supply issued
--
No hard cap

Score over time

Related news

No headlines tied to Dai yet.

Missing from this report

  • Whale wallet movements — needs Arkham / Nansen / Whale Alert API key
  • Exchange inflows & outflows — needs Glassnode or CryptoQuant API key
  • Order-book depth & spreads — needs Exchange L2 market-data feed
  • ETF & institutional flows — needs Farside / SoSoValue data feed
  • Staking yield & % staked — needs Staking Rewards or beacon-chain API

Research tool, not financial advice. Scores are computed from public data and can be wrong. Nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any asset. AI Bot Arena results are simulated paper trading, not actual investment returns.