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Crude oil (WTI)

CL
$123.7024h +1.14% · 7d -7.40% · 30d -7.60%

Last scan 12h ago

51Confidence-2.0

Neutral (51% confidence)

Why this score

Crude Oil's Confidence Score slipped from 53.0 to 51.0 out of 100 in this scan, driven by a complete absence of bullish signals and weakening chart trends. This technical weakness is reflected in a low momentum sub-score of 38, as the price trades 8.8% below its 50-day moving average and remains broken below its 200-day trend line. On a positive note, a strong risk sub-score of 73 and a steady news sub-score of 55 are keeping the overall rating from dropping into deeper trouble. The single biggest thing to watch next is whether momentum can recover enough to challenge the 50-day moving average.

Bullish

Nothing flagged.

Bearish
  • MACD below signalHistogram -0.00 — short-term trend is down.
  • Below 50-day averagePrice is -8.8% below the 50-day moving average.
  • Below 200-day averageLong-term trend structure is broken.
Risks

Nothing flagged.

Score breakdown

Momentum4808%38
Risk (inverted)2308%73
Network usagen/a
Developmentn/a
News sentiment2885%55
Social sentimentn/a
Derivatives positioningn/a
Tokenomicsn/a

Categories marked est fall back to free public data (exchange order books, global news tone) when a paid feed is off, and count at 60% weight. Only categories with no usable data at all score n/a, and their weight is spread across the rest.

What changed since the last scan

12h ago

Since the previous scan, Crude Oil (WTI) saw its confidence score drop slightly from 53.0 to 51.0, driven primarily by a 6.7-point decline in news sentiment from 62 to 55. No new anomaly flags were detected during this evaluation period. This shift matters because the lower sentiment score reflects a more cautious news cycle dominated by regulatory pushback, legal disputes, and political personnel changes. Overall, the minor two-point dip in confidence suggests a slight cooling in overall outlook without triggering any broader system alerts.

  • • News sentiment down 6.7 points (62 → 55)

AI confidence meter

Neutral52%
Data quality
Limited
Category coverage
38%
Conflicting signals
0
Missing data
Network usage, Development, Social sentiment, Derivatives positioning, Tokenomics
  • • 3 of 8 score categories had data this scan
  • • 2 of 5 data feeds responded
  • • Signals all point the same way
  • • Score sits close to neutral, so the read is weak by construction

Bull case vs bear case

Both cases built from the same evidence

Bull case

Despite the absence of bullish technical signals, the asset maintains a solid risk sub-score of 73 alongside a moderate news sub-score of 55. Furthermore, the overall confidence score remains middle-of-the-road at 51.0/100 with no active risk flags or anomalies reported.

Bear case

Technical metrics display notable weakness, highlighted by a suppressed momentum sub-score of 38 and zero bullish signals. The short-term trend is down with the MACD below its signal line (histogram -0.00), while the long-term trend structure is broken as price sits -8.8% below the 50-day moving average and remains below the 200-day average.

Balanced read: The evidence currently favors the bear case given the broken long-term trend structure, a low momentum score of 38, and price sitting -8.8% under its 50-day moving average. A move back above key 50-day and 200-day moving averages paired with positive MACD momentum would be needed to flip the outlook.

Market mood timeline

Last 45 days · from momentum and volatility
PanicFearNeutralOptimisticEuphoria

Today: Neutral — Down 7.6% over 30 days; 40% below the running high; Realised volatility 48%

What CL is moving with

Full market structure →
Bitcoin30d 0.23 · 90d 0.30 · Weak positive relationship
Crude oil30d — · 90d — · Not enough overlapping data
Gold30d — · 90d — · Not enough overlapping data
Nvidia (AI proxy)30d — · 90d — · Not enough overlapping data
Silver30d — · 90d — · Not enough overlapping data
Nasdaq 10030d — · 90d — · Not enough overlapping data
S&P 50030d — · 90d — · Not enough overlapping data
US Dollar Index30d — · 90d — · Not enough overlapping data

Price history

Daily closes · Coinbase
Range change +2.8%

Technical indicators

RSI (14)
41.5
Neutral range
MACD hist
—
SMA 50
$80.78
SMA 200
$94.41
Volatility 30d
47.5%
ATR 14
—
Bollinger %B
—
Dist. from ATH
—%
Trend
--

Network & development

Network activity
—
vs 30d average
—%
Hash rate trend
—%
Avg fee
—
Commits (30d)
—
GitHub
Contributors
—
Stars
—
Circulating supply
—
Supply issued
--
No hard cap

Score over time

Related news

No headlines tied to Crude oil (WTI) yet.

Missing from this report

  • Whale wallet movements — needs Arkham / Nansen / Whale Alert API key
  • Exchange inflows & outflows — needs Glassnode or CryptoQuant API key
  • Order-book depth & spreads — needs Exchange L2 market-data feed
  • ETF & institutional flows — needs Farside / SoSoValue data feed
  • Staking yield & % staked — needs Staking Rewards or beacon-chain API

Research tool, not financial advice. Scores are computed from public data and can be wrong. Nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any asset. AI Bot Arena results are simulated paper trading, not actual investment returns.